Table 2.

Geostatistical variables selection results

	Variable selection 1		Variable selection 2
Predictors	Median probability model	Predictor posterior inclusion probability	Median probability model	Predictor posterior inclusion probability
Age	0	2.4 %	0	1.6 %
Gender	0	27.6 %	0	24 %
Altitude
Linear	0	1.6 %	0	1.5 %
Categorical	0	4.2 %	0	2.4 %
Distance to freshwater bodies
Linear	0	0.9 %	0	0.6 %
Categorical	0	5.9 %	0	2.4 %
Rainfall
Linear	0	2.2 %	0	2.3 %
Categorical	0	25.0 %	0	14.8 %
Rainfall coefficient of variation
Linear	0	1.9 %	0	2.1 %
Categorical	0	9.8 %	0	20.6 %
Normalized difference vegetation index
Linear	0	1.2 %	0	0.5 %
Categorical	0	4.1 %	0	4.0 %
Night land surface temperature
Linear	0	2.8 %	0	1.0 %
Categorical	0	9.0 %	0	1.5 %
Day land surface temperature
Linear	0	1.3 %	0	0.9 %
Categorical	0	1.7 %	0	3.0 %
Land cover	×	51.1 %	0	19.1 %
Bed net ownership			0	2.1 %
Fumigating coil			0	13.4 %
Insecticide spray			0	15.5 %
Smoke by burning leaves			0	3.3 %
Children sleeping under a net			0	1.1 %
Children slept under a net last night			0	1.8 %
Malaria treatment			0	3.5 %
Distance to nearest health facility			0	3.3 %
Socioeconomic status			×	100 %

Variable selection 1 included only demographic and environmental variables. Variable selection 2 additionally included prevention and socioeconomic variables. × (selected), 0 (not selected); Median probability model is presented together with posterior inclusions probability of the predictors