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. 2016 Mar 7;22(9):3221–3232. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13230

Table 1.

Number of grid cells (squares) occupied by the species at present (simulated data) and in the projected future scenarios, and percentage change (%) with respect to the original simulated distribution of the species. Low ES: low‐emission scenario; High ES: high‐emission scenario

BCC‐CSM1‐1 HadGEM2‐AO
Original (No. squares) Prediction (Year) Low ES High ES Low ES High ES
No. squares Change No. squares Change No. squares Change No. squares Change
Rutilus rutilus 1154 2050 1667 +44.45 1826 +58.23 1932 +67.42 2000 +73.31
2070 1693 +46.71 1832 +58.75 1884 +63.26 2126 +84.23
Squalius cephalus 782 2050 452 −42.20 217 −72.25 637 −18.54 479 −38.75
2070 627 −19.82 139 −82.23 764 −2.30 174 −77.75
Abramis brama 807 2050 1452 +79.93 1670 +106.94 1680 +108.18 1811 +124.41
2070 1526 +89.10 1726 113.88 1581 +95.91 1964 +143.37
Leuciscus leuciscus 853 2050 907 +6.33 771 −9.61 695 −18.52 596 −30.13
2070 986 +15.59 455 −46.66 905 +6.10 99 −88.39
Gobio gobio 884 2050 847 −4.19 406 −54.07 722 −18.33 489 −44.68
2070 1104 +24.89 314 −64.48 985 +11.43 76 −91.40