Table S3.

EWS analysis results of summed probability distributions of nine European regions using the complete (nonoptimized) subset

Region	AR (1)			σ			$1\gamma$
	${\tau }_{\left[o\right]}$	$P_{\left[s\right]}$	$P_{\left[n\right]}$	${\tau }_{\left[o\right]}$	$P_{\left[s\right]}$	$P_{\left[n\right]}$	${\tau }_{\left[o\right]}$	$P_{\left[s\right]}$	$P_{\left[n\right]}$
Southern Germany	−0.20	1.00	0.52	−0.01	0.60	0.57	−0.61	0.00***	0.03**
Eastern Switzerland	0.05	0.28	0.50	0.07	0.21	0.35	−0.07	0.21	0.46
England and Wales (without Wessex and Sussex)	−0.27	0.99	0.98	0.34	0.00***	0.18	−0.15	0.10*	0.25
Ireland	−0.08	0.76	0.81	0.32	0.00***	0.18	−0.25	0.01***	0.18
Paris Basin	0.33	0.00***	0.14	0.03	0.34	0.52	−0.30	0.00***	0.18
Rhone-Languedoc	−0.12	0.99	0.52	0.67	0.00***	0.01***	0.26	1.00	0.73
Scotland	0.08	0.28	0.36	0.00	0.51	0.41	0.17	0.91	0.79
Southern England (Wessex and Sussex)	0.15	0.03**	0.34	0.68	0.00***	0.06*	−0.15	0.02	0.31
Western France	−0.19	0.99	0.55	0.61	0.00***	0.04**	0.43	1.00	0.91

Significance levels: *P = 0.10; **P = 0.05; ***P = 0.01.