Table 3. Sensitivity of detection of changes in effective population size (Ne) for different demographic models.
Demographic model | Initial Ne | Change in Ne detected |
---|---|---|
Constant | 100 | No |
250 | No | |
500 | No | |
1000 | No | |
Decline to 75% | 100 | Yes |
250 | Yes | |
500 | No | |
1000 | No | |
Decline to 50% | 100 | Yes |
250 | Yes | |
500 | Yes | |
1000 | No | |
Decline to 25% | 100 | Yes |
250 | Yes | |
500 | Yes | |
1000 | Yes | |
Expansion to 2 × | 100 | Yes |
250 | Yes | |
500 | Yes | |
1000 | No | |
Expansion to 5 × | 100 | Yes |
250 | Yes | |
500 | Yes | |
1000 | Yes |
Change in Ne was estimated using LinkNe for each model based on 1000 single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) loci and a sample size of 50 except where the change in Ne generated a population of <50 individuals (in which case all individuals were sampled). Change in Ne was detected when confidence intervals between estimates from the most distant past (14.3 generations) and those from the most recent past (1.01 generations) did not overlap.