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. 2016 Apr 26;7(1):38–77. doi: 10.1080/21645698.2016.1176817
Country Area of trait (‘000 ha) Yield assumption % change Base yield (tonnes/ha) Farm level price ($/tonne) Cost of technology ($/ha) Impact on costs, net of cost of technology ($/ha) Change in farm income ($/ha) Change in farm income at national level (‘000 $) Production impact (‘000 tonnes)
US 29,944 Nil 10.73 162 −28.32 +36.17 +36.17 +1,083,083 Nil
Canada 1,184 Nil 9.36 167 −31.28 +23.53 +23.53 +27,860 Nil
Argentina: as single trait 401 +3% con belt, +22% marginal areas 6.08 corn belt, 3.75 marginal areas 119 −8.9 +6.71 +21.74 corn belt, +98.34 marginal areas +29,823 +227
Argentina: as stacked trait 3,401 +10.25 5.41 119 −18.9 −3.32 +62.8 +213,577 +1,886
South Africa 1,990 Nil 3.7 229 −11.06 +12.36 +12.36 +24,602 Nil
Philippines 688 +5 2.86 288 −45.05 −14.21 +26.92 +18,530 +98
Colombia 55 Zero 3.65 334 −21.65 +15.34 +15.34 +841 Nil
Brazil 7,980 +3 4.99 191 −15.67 −3.48 +25.15 +200,785 +1,298
Uruguay 67 Nil 5.76 173 −8.92 +6.71 +6.71 +467 Nil
Paraguay 500 Nil 4.53 119 −16.47 +1.02 +1.02 +511 Nil

Notes:

1. Where no positive yield effect due to this technology is applied, the base yields shown are the indicative average yields for the crops and differ (are higher) than those used for the GM IR base yield analysis, which have been adjusted downwards to reflect the impact of the yield enhancing technology (see below).

2. Argentina: single trait. In the Corn Belt it is assumed that 70% of trait plantings occur in this region and marginal regions account for the balance. In relation to stacked traits, the yield impact (+10.25%) is in addition to the yield 5.5% impact presented for the GM IR trait (above). In other words the total estimated yield impact of stacked traits is +15.75%. The cost of the technology also relates specifically to the HT part of the technology (sold within the stack).