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. 2016 Feb 21;51(5):1896–1918. doi: 10.1111/1475-6773.12461

Table 3.

HealthImpact Accuracy in the Training, Internal Validation, and External Validation Populations. HealthImpact Thresholds Were Chosen to Signify Low (50), Intermediate (75), and High (90) Risk of Incident Diabetes at Three Years

HealthImpact Threshold >50 >75 >90
Training dataset (n = 473,049)
Sample size 132,819 41,782 15,213
Sensitivity 69.23 38.10 17.86
Specificity 76.49 94.42 98.42
Internal validation dataset (n = 303,025)
Sample size 69,945 19,813 7,042
Sensitivity 69.18 37.74 18.01
Specificity 80.11 95.68 98.80
External validation datasets
Year 1 (n = 1,383,743)
Sample size 424,294 167,124 71,309
Sensitivity 80.54 53.70 31.07
Specificity 69.91 88.40 95.15
Positive predictive value 2.99 5.05 6.85
Negative predictive value 99.68 99.40 99.17
Year 2 (n = 1,054,142)
Sample size 342,925 139,977 61,203
Sensitivity 80.90 54.45 32.13
Specificity 68.73 87.79 94.88
Positive predictive value 6.30 10.40 14.03
Negative predictive value 99.28 98.67 98.17
Year 3 (n = 827,969)
Sample size 278,043 116,235 51,758
Sensitivity 80.88 54.52 32.35
Specificity 68.54 87.78 94.92
Positive predictive value 10.35 16.70 22.25
Negative predictive value 98.76 97.73 96.90