Table 1.

Hindcasts of 20th century GSL rise (centimeters)

Scenario	Summary		Calibrated to individual temperature reconstructions
			Mann et al. (1)		Marcott et al. (2)
	50th percentile	5th–95th percentile	50th percentile	5th–95th percentile	50th percentile	5th–95th percentile
Observed	13.8	12.6–15.0
Historical	11.1	6.0–15.4	12.5	9.9–15.4	9.8	6.0–14.2
Scenario 1	0.6	−3.5–4.1	0.9	−1.3–3.3	0.3	−3.5–4.1
Scenario 2	4.0	−0.9–7.5	5.5	3.3–7.5	2.4	−0.9–5.9
Percent of historical
Scenario 1	6	−32–51	8	−11–26	3	−32–51
Scenario 2	35	−13–59	44	28–59	25	−13–49

All values are with respect to year 1900 CE baseline.

Summary results show means of medians, minima of lower bounds, and maxima of upper bounds taken across both temperature calibrations.