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. 2016 Sep 28;19(1):21096. doi: 10.7448/IAS.19.1.21096

Table 3.

Estimated HIV transmission risk as outcome

HIV transmission risk Univariate models


Characteristics Level Estimate (95% CI) p
Time (quarter) −0.10 (−0.16, −0.04) 0.0012
General health −0.19 (−0.37, −0.01) 0.0387
Physical functioning −0.19 (−0.41, 0.04) 0.1086
Role functioning −0.23 (−0.49, 0.04) 0.0964
Social functioning −0.05 (−0.15, 0.05) 0.3027
Cognitive functioning −0.13 (−0.35, 0.09) 0.2504
Pain −0.20 (−0.39, 0.00) 0.0548
Mental health 0.21 (−0.40, −0.01) 0.0370
Energy/Fatigue −0.26 (−0.48, −0.05) 0.0167
Social support 0.04 (−0.02, 0.09) 0.1674
HIV disclosure behaviours −0.34 (−1.1, 0.41) 0.3703
Fear of the consequences of HIV disclosure 0.66 (0.12, 1.20) 0.0164
Alcohol score 0.03 (−0.01, 0.06) 0.1170
Community beliefs: power imbalance and condom negotiation −0.27 (−0.49, −0.05) 0.0163
Community beliefs: relationship dynamics 0.42 (0.19, 0.65) 0.0004
Community Beliefs: Community negative beliefs about HIV −0.14 (−0.56, 0.27) 0.5014
Community Beliefs: Sexual immorality −0.20 (−0.40, 0.01) 0.0626
Personal beliefs: sexual practices −0.44 (−0.69, −0.18) 0.0008
Personal beliefs: partner concerns 0.01 (−0.18, 0.20) 0.9403
Personal beliefs: viral load beliefs −0.12 (−0.54, 0.31) 0.5861
Personal beliefs: dislike of condoms 0.40 (−0.03, 0.82) 0.0664
Adherence −0.01 (−0.08, 0.05) 0.6587
CESD Mild to moderate depression versus Normal 0.31 (−0.01, 0.62) 0.0542
CESD Major depression versus normal 1.21 (0.38, 2.04) 0.0045
Substance use Yes versus no −0.43 (−1.38, −0.26) 0.0044
Site Brazil versus Thailand 1.56 (0.86, 2.25) <0.00
Site Zambia versus Thailand −0.19 (−0.30, −0.08) 0.0010
Risk group MSM versus HM 2.02 (1.13, 2.90) <0.00
Risk group HW versus HM −0.18 (−0.39, 0.02) 0.0747
HIV transmission risk Multivariable predictive model (backwards model selection, p)
Risk group within site
 Brazil MSM versus HM 2.85 (1.45, 4.25) <0.0001
MSM versus HW 3.37 (2.01, 4.74) <0.0001
HM versus HW 0.52 (0.28, 0.77) <0.0001
 Thailand MSM versus HM 0.10 (−0.27, 0.48) 0.5924
MSM versus HW −0.00 (−0.45, 0.45) 0.9979
HM versus HW −0.10 (−0.25, 0.04) 0.1572
 Zambia HM versus HW −0.01 (−0.35, 0.33) 0.9515
Site within risk group
 MSM Thailand versus Brazil −3.3 (−4.9, −1.78) <0.0001
 HM Thailand versus Brazil −0.59 (−0.82, −0.36) <0.0001
Thailand versus Zambia −0.09 (−0.42, 0.24) 0.5954
Brazil versus Zambia 0.50 (0.16, 0.84) 0.0043
 HW Thailand versus Brazil 0.04 (−0.17, 0.25) 0.7211
Thailand versus Zambia 0.00 (−0.21, 0.22) 0.9695
Brazil versus Zambia −0.03 (−0.23, 0.17) 0.7386
 Energy/fatigue −0.15 (−0.31, 0.02) 0.0787
 Personal beliefs Dislike of condoms 0.33 (−0.04, 0.70) 0.0794

MSM=men who have sex with men; HW=heterosexual women; HM=heterosexual men; CESD=Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale.

The bold values indicate variables that were statistically significant at p<0.05.