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. 2016 Sep 28;19(1):21096. doi: 10.7448/IAS.19.1.21096

Table 4.

Predictors of STI incidence

STI incidence Univariate model


Characteristics Level OR (95% CI) p
Time 1.00 (0.95, 1.05) 0.9993
General health 0.96 (0.88, 1.04) 0.3366
Physical functioning 1.08 (0.95, 1.22) 0.2293
Role functioning 0.98 (0.90, 1.06) 0.5532
Social functioning 0.93 (0.85, 1.02) 0.1291
Cognitive functioning 0.88 (0.80, 0.96) 0.0034
Pain 1.00 (0.92, 1.08) 0.9671
Mental health 1.08 (0.92, 1.28) 0.3407
Energy/fatigue 0.97 (0.89, 1.06) 0.5278
Social support 0.96 (0.93, 0.99) 0.0112
HIV disclosure behaviours 0.85 (0.54, 1.34) 0.4772
Fear of consequences of HIV disclosure 1.39 (0.95, 2.02) 0.0923
Community beliefs: power imbalance and condom negotiation 0.81 (0.63, 1.03) 0.0899
Community beliefs: relationship dynamics 0.88 (0.70, 1.09) 0.2447
Community beliefs: community negative beliefs about HIV 1.10 (0.90, 1.33) 0.3625
Community beliefs: sexual immorality 0.90 (0.71, 1.13) 0.3665
Personal beliefs: sexual practices 1.04 (0.85, 1.28) 0.7110
Personal beliefs: partner concerns 0.84 (0.67, 1.05) 0.1187
Personal beliefs: viral load beliefs 1.16 (0.94, 1.44) 0.1765
Personal beliefs: dislike of condoms 0.97 (0.80, 1.18) 0.7827
Adherence 0.94 (0.78, 1.13) 0.5236
Alcohol score 1.06 (1.03, 1.10) 0.0005
Substance use No versus yes 0.66 (0.36, 1.18) 0.1585
CESD Mild to moderate depressive symptoms versus normal 1.23 (0.76, 1.99) 0.4008
CESD Severe depressive symptoms versus normal 1.65 (1.02, 2.67) 0.0394
Site Brazil versus Thailand 1.61 (1.01, 2.63) 0.0455
Zambia versus Thailand 2.78 (1.33, 5.56) 0.0063
Risk group MSM versus HW 4.76 (2.86, 7.69) <0.00
STI incidence Multivariate predictive model (backwards mode; selection, p)
Alcohol score 1.04 (1.01, 1.08) 0.0231
Risk group within site
 Brazil MSM versus HW 1.93 (0.92, 4.04) 0.0804
Thailand MSM versus HW 12.3 (4.44, 33.98) <0.0001
Site within risk group
MSM Thailand versus Brazil 2.63 (1.52, 4.57) 0.0006
 HW Thailand versus Brazil 0.41 (0.13, 1.27) 0.1234
Thailand versus Zambia 0.41 (0.13, 1.29) 0.1274
Brazil versus Zambia 0.99 (0.40, 2.44) 0.9873

MSM=men who have sex with men; HW=heterosexual women; HM=heterosexual men; STI=sexually transmitted infection; CESD=Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale.

The bold values indicate variables that were statistically significant at p<0.05.