Table 2. Results of the ensemble models showing changes in suitable and non-suitable areas, including area that lost suitability and new potential area for plantation of selected crops by 2050.
Crop | Scenario | Pixel count in the ensemble raster layers | In percentage | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unsuitable | Suitable | Lost | Gain | Total | Suitable | Lost | Gain | ||
Banana | Baseline | 175456 | 17678 | 193134 | 9.15 | ||||
RCP26 | 169329 | 15348 | 2330 | 6127 | 193134 | 7.95 | 13.18 | 34.66 | |
RCP45 | 167578 | 14698 | 2980 | 7878 | 193134 | 7.61 | 16.86 | 44.56 | |
RCP60 | 168998 | 14396 | 3282 | 6458 | 193134 | 7.45 | 18.57 | 36.53 | |
RCP85 | 167157 | 14467 | 3211 | 8299 | 193134 | 7.49 | 18.16 | 46.95 | |
Average | 16.69 | 40.67 | |||||||
Coffee | Baseline | 179339 | 13795 | 193134 | 7.14 | ||||
RCP26 | 178216 | 4481 | 9314 | 1123 | 193134 | 2.32 | 67.52 | 8.14 | |
RCP45 | 177571 | 3763 | 10032 | 1768 | 193134 | 1.95 | 72.72 | 12.82 | |
RCP60 | 177587 | 4056 | 9739 | 1752 | 193134 | 2.10 | 70.60 | 12.70 | |
RCP85 | 177373 | 2836 | 10959 | 1966 | 193134 | 1.47 | 79.44 | 14.25 | |
Average | 72.57 | 11.98 |
The baseline represents the current scenario, while RCPs represent future scenario by 2050 (2040–2060); pixel count is total number of cell in the raster layer within study area (calculated in BiodiversityR package) that represent suitable and unsuitable area for the crops; percent suitability = (suitable pixel×100)/Total pixel; percent loss/gain = (lost/gain pixel×100)/suitable pixel.