Figure - PMC

Skip to main content

An official website of the United States government

Here's how you know

Here's how you know

Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.

Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

View full-text article in PMC

. 2016 Jun 16;3(3):ofw125. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofw125

Search in PMC
Search in PubMed
View in NLM Catalog
Add to search

© The Author 2016. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Infectious Diseases Society of America.

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial reproduction and distribution of the work, in any medium, provided the original work is not altered or transformed in any way, and that the work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com.

PMC Copyright notice

Figure 1. — Model outputs for calibration and validation. Model calibration to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevalence among (A) women and (B) men by age. Error bars show 95% confidence intervals for data and 95% credible intervals for model posterior estimates. (C) Model calibration to HIV incidence in the Africa Centre Demographic Surveillance Site (ACDSS) and comparison to the UNAIDS' Spectrum model [23]. (D) Model validation against HIV prevalence in KwaZulu-Natal among adults aged 15–24 and 15–49 from the 4 South African national household surveys [2]. Abbreviation: CrI, credible interval.