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. 2015 Jan 19;19(1):121–137. doi: 10.1111/hex.12335

Table 3.

Regression analysis of subjective survival probabilities 1 , 2

Variables3 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4
Time horizon −1.62*** (0.144) −1.65*** (0.140) −1.66*** (0.140) −1.65*** (0.140)
Male −0.51 (0.416) −2.31*** (0.410) −2.65*** (0.451) −1.55*** (0.552)
Age −1.24*** (0.075) −1.14*** (0.073) −1.14*** (0.073) −1.15*** (0.073)
(Age)2 −0.02*** (0.004) −0.01** (0.004) −0.01* (0.004) −0.01*** (0.004)
Germany −4.55*** (1.315) −4.72*** (1.253) −4.92*** (1.252) −4.87*** (1.252)
Sweden 0.46 (1.374) −1.51 (1.330) −2.00 (1.334) −2.05 (1.332)
Netherlands 2.93** (1.290) 1.33 (1.235) 1.00 (1.242) 1.05 (1.241)
Spain 2.63* (1.530) 2.84** (1.448) 2.90** (1.449) 2.97** (1.447)
Italy 6.66*** (1.301) 7.59*** (1.239) 7.77*** (1.240) 7.90*** (1.239)
France 1.67 (1.320) 2.01 (1.262) 1.64 (1.263) 1.68 (1.264)
Denmark 6.77*** (1.366) 5.11*** (1.309) 4.70*** (1.317) 4.63*** (1.317)
Greece 3.41*** (1.257) 2.48** (1.207) 2.33* (1.207) 2.39** (1.207)
Switzerland 5.13*** (1.441) 2.91** (1.394) 2.54* (1.397) 2.65* (1.396)
Belgium −2.20* (1.237) −1.79 (1.183) −2.19* (1.184) −2.18* (1.184)
Czech Republic −14.33*** (1.397) −14.41*** (1.330) −14.32*** (1.328) −14.32*** (1.328)
Poland −10.81*** (1.434) −6.96*** (1.380) −6.64*** (1.382) −6.51*** (1.382)
Living alone −2.82*** (0.559) −1.98*** (0.541) −1.78*** (0.541) −1.75*** (0.541)
Parent(s) alive 3.13*** (0.680) 3.04*** (0.662) 2.99*** (0.660) 2.93*** (0.659)
Child(ren) 1.50* (0.799) 1.75** (0.775) 1.59** (0.775) 1.56** (0.774)
ISCED 2 0.82 (0.677) −0.30 (0.657) −0.35 (0.656) −0.32 (0.656)
ISCED 3 or 4 2.69*** (0.623) 1.00 (0.606) 0.80 (0.607) 0.78 (0.607)
ISCED 5 or 6 4.01*** (0.722) 1.92*** (0.706) 1.61** (0.704) 1.56** (0.704)
Working 4.44*** (0.764) 3.09*** (0.758) 3.12*** (0.757) 2.97*** (0.755)
Income high 1.18* (0.606) 0.75 (0.589) 0.63 (0.588) 0.54 (0.588)
Rural area −1.15** (0.482) −1.24*** (0.467) −1.31*** (0.467) −1.34*** (0.467)
Chronic disease −2.18*** (0.623) −2.20*** (0.623) −2.19*** (0.623)
Depressed −9.66*** (0.567) −9.32*** (0.569) −9.31*** (0.569)
Obese −0.66 (0.552) −0.74 (0.552) −0.66 (0.552)
Doctor visits high −3.63*** (0.473) −3.64*** (0.472) −3.62*** (0.471)
Drug use −2.89*** (0.622) −2.90*** (0.621) −2.83*** (0.621)
Hospital stay (night) −1.06* (0.618) −0.84 (0.619) −0.84 (0.618)
ADL limitations −2.64*** (0.808) −1.92** (0.821) −2.10** (0.822)
iADL limitations −5.73*** (0.676) −5.09*** (0.686) −5.16*** (0.684)
Stopped smoking 0.43 (0.513) 0.36 (0.513)
Currently smoking −2.85*** (0.639) −2.87*** (0.639)
Alcohol cons. (exc.) 1.82*** (0.472) 0.46 (0.611)
Physically inactive −3.62*** (0.816) −6.54*** (1.185)
Exces. alc × female 3.07*** (0.867)
Phys. inact × age 0.33*** (0.096)
Constant 82.24*** (2.309) 93.27*** (2.279) 93.69*** (2.284) 93.53*** (2.285)
F stat 164.67 167.14 151.75 145.48
R 2 0.21 0.26 0.26 0.26
Adj. R 2 0.21 0.25 0.26 0.26

1 = 16 295.

2Robust standard errors in parentheses.

3Austria is country reference group. For education, ISCED 0 or 1 is reference group. For smoking status, non‐smokers are reference group.

***P < 0.01, **P < 0.05, *P < 0.10.