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. 2016 Oct 8;388(10053):1545–1602. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)31678-6

Table 1.

Global incidence of short duration (less than 3 months) sequelae in 2005 and 2015 for all ages and both sexes combined, with percentage change between 2005 and 2015 for level 4 causes with incidence greater than 1 million cases per year


Incidence (thousands)
Percentage change (%)
2005 2015
Upper respiratory infections 15 624 257 (13 851 237–17 411 199) 17 230 659 (15 351 516–19 172 439) 10·3 (9·0 to 11·6)*
Diarrhoeal diseases 2 235 739 (2 139 050–2 348 407) 2 392 517 (2 301 101––2 503 094) 7·0 (6·0 to 8·0)*
Permanent caries 426 963 (371 216–484 332) 487 629 (423 507–552 895) 14·2 (13·1 to 15·4)*
Otitis media 429 820 (353 915–525 059) 471 027 (386 606–577 286) 9·6 (7·9 to 11·2)*
Lower respiratory infections 273 131 (257 286–288 078) 291 759 (276 244–307 004) 6·8 (5·6 to 8·1)*
Malaria 339 275 (261 417–447 605) 286 859 (219 712–377 332) −15·4 (−23·0 to −8·1)*
Gastritis and duodenitis 185 250 (167 471–204 974) 213 729 (192 486–236 339) 15·4 (10·8 to 17·2%)*
Pyoderma 178 382 (172 199–184 147) 207 452 (200 498–213 936) 16·3 (15·6% to 17·0)*
Gonococcal infection 138 220 (107 106–184 385) 172 676 (129 731–235 737) 24·9 (17·9 to 31·0)*
Interstitial nephritis and urinary tract infections 127 380 (124 308–130 683) 152 295 (148 748–156 177) 19·6 (19·2 to 19·9)*
Varicella and herpes zoster 128 678 (124 298–133 090) 142 413 (137 804–147 181) 10·7 (10·0 to 11·4)*
Trichomoniasis 121 948 (104 825–141 284) 140 781 (121 207–163 163) 15·4 (14·5 to 16·5)*
Acute hepatitis A 109 609 (101 813–117 648) 114 212 (103 349–124 776) 4·2 (−7·2 to 17·0)
Hepatitis B 98 277 (86 507–112 527) 111 212 (97 410–126 251) 13·2 (−4·3 to 35·2)
Gallbladder and biliary diseases 88 215 (79 276–96 495) 104 322 (93 074–114 430) 18·3 (16·0 to 20·7)*
Peptic ulcer disease 83 388 (77 760–89 435) 87 410 (80 343–94 506) 4·8 (2·6 to 7·0)*
Dengue 32 749 (18 879–68 335) 79 609 (53 784–169 704) 143·1 (−0·3 to 564·7)
Other sense organ diseases 60 659 (58 721–62 579) 69 945 (67 856–72 080) 15·3 (14·6 to 16·0)*
Chlamydial infection 56 976 (45 489–70 839) 61 173 (48 871–76 698) 7·4 (5·5 to 9·4)*
Maternal abortion, miscarriage, and ectopic pregnancy 53 942 (43 630–67 168) 53 958 (43 224–67 417) 0·0 (−3·8 to 4·0)
Syphilis 43 515 (37 479–51 054) 45 413 (37 787–54 921) 4·4 (−0·3 to 8·1)
Deciduous caries 41 353 (28 723–58 131) 43 688 (29 630–62 543) 5·6 (2·1 to 8·1)*
Genital herpes 29 112 (25 131–33 432) 39 791 (35 569–44 572) 36·7 (32·4 to 41·6)*
Urolithiasis 17 875 (16 320–19 728) 22 080 (20 183–24 295) 23·5 (21·2 to 25·6)*
Cellulitis 17 312 (15 988–18 739) 21 211 (19 582–22 985) 22·5 (21·0 to 24·1)*
Maternal hypertensive disorders 20 416 (17 593–23 417) 20 731 (17 355–24 379) 1·5 (−3·0 to 6·3)
Acute hepatitis E 18 869 (17 340–20 580) 19 525 (18 011–21 273) 3·5 (2·2% to 4·7)*
Whooping cough 22 457 (17 322–28 268) 16 298 (12 599–20 445) −27·4 (−29·5 to −25·2)*
Typhoid fever 15 341 (13 454–17 417) 12 538 (10 887–14 283) −18·3 (−20·8 to −15·6)*
Maternal sepsis and other maternal infections 11 938 (9457–15 125) 11 817 (9300–15 009) −1·0 (−4·6 to 2·8)
Appendicitis 10 159 (9549 to 10 840) 11 619 (10 918 to 12 407) 14·4 (13·5 to 15·2)*
Pancreatitis 7160 (6 660–7 694) 8 902 (8 212–9 643) 24·3 (21·9 to 26·6)*
Maternal haemorrhage 8438 (6614–10 620) 8740 (6774–11 061) 3·6 (−0·3 to 7·6)
Other sexually transmitted diseases 7569 (6511–8741) 7656 (6583–8853) 1·2 (−0·1 to 2·4)
Ischaemic heart disease 6308 (5918–6716) 7287 (6798–7808) 15·5 (14·3 to 16·8)*
Maternal obstructed labour and uterine rupture 6830 (5202–8933) 6521 (4977–8588) −4·5 (−9·1 to −0·3)*
Hepatitis C 4609 (4316 to 4918) 5394 (5032 to 5778) 17·0 (15·7 to 18·4)*
Ischaemic stroke 4651 (4397 to 4912) 5385 (5017 to 5726) 15·8 (13·4 to 18·4)*
Measles 15 610 (6699–31 357) 4652 (2072–9206) −70·2 (−73·6 to −66·0)*
Paratyphoid fever 5580 (4498–6896) 4587 (3738–5601) −17·8 (−22·6 to −12·7)*
Haemorrhagic stroke 3144 (2973–3307) 3583 (3336–3822) 14·0 (11·4 to 16·2)*
Paralytic ileus and intestinal obstruction 2664 (2494–2855) 3167 (2946–3406) 18·9 (16·9 to 20·7)*
Encephalitis 1489 (1380–1608) 1603 (1472–1750) 7·7 (5·9 to 9·5)*
Acute glomerulonephritis 1528 (1395–1672) 1534 (1394–1685) 0·4 (−2·6 to 3·1)

Data in parentheses are 95% UIs.

*

Percentage changes that are statistically significant.