Abstract
Little was known with regard to the value of preoperative systemic restaging for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT). This study was designed to evaluate the role of chest and abdominal computed tomography (CT) scan or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) on preoperative restaging in LARC after neoadjuvant CRT and to assess the impact on treatment strategy.
Between January 2007 and April 2013, 386 newly diagnosed consecutive patients with LARC who underwent neoadjuvant CRT and received restaging with chest and abdominal CT/MRI scan were included. Imaging results before and after CRT were analyzed.
Twelve patients (3.1%) (6 liver lesions, 2 peritoneal lesions, 2 distant lymph node lesions, 1 lung lesions, 1 liver and lung lesions) were diagnosed as suspicious metastases on the restaging scan after radiotherapy. Seven patients (1.8%) were confirmed as metastases by pathology or long-term follow-up. The treatment strategy was changed in 5 of the 12 patients as a result of restaging CT/MRI findings. Another 10 patients (2.6%) who present with normal restaging imaging findings were diagnosed as metastases intra-operatively. The sensitivity, specificity accuracy, negative predictive value, and positive predictive values of restaging CT/MRI was 41.4%, 98.6%, 58.3%, and 97.3%, respectively.
The low incidence of metastases and minimal consequences for the treatment plan question the clinical value of routine restaging of chest and abdomen after neoadjuvant CRT. Based on this study, a routine restaging CT/MRI of chest and abdomen in patients with rectal cancer after neoadjuvant CRT is not advocated, carcino-embryonic antigen (CEA) -guided CT/MRI restaging might be an alternative.
INTRODUCTION
Although neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) significantly reduces the risk of local recurrence in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), the risk of distant metastases has not been effectively controlled. As a result, systemic recurrence remains the predominant pattern of treatment failure.
One of the concerns of long course CRT (∼3 months) is the risk of tumor progress during treatment, which might have an impact on the strategy of treatment. For example, resectable metastases, if detected before surgery, could be salvaged in time. On the other hand, unresectable metastases, if detected before surgery, might preclude patients from unnecessary surgery.
Phase III clinical trials on neoadjuvant CRT demonstrate that the incidence of intraoperative metastases is 1.0% to 4.2%, supporting the concern of disease progress during neoajuvant treatment.1–3 However, whether metastases is limited to this subset of patients and whether this subset of patients could be detected by preoperative restaging remain unknown.
Up to date, there was few studies evaluating the value of systemic restaging with chest and abdominal CT/MRI scan after CRT.4 Furthermore, the data was mixed with metastatic patients and both the patients and the treatment strategies were heterogeneous, which make the results difficult to interpret. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the value of systemic restaging in a pure population of LARC treated with neoadjuvant CRT.
PATIENTS AND METHODS
Data Source
The hospital information system and the colorectal surgery database were searched to obtain the following information: age, gender, radiation time and dose, simultaneous chemotherapy, CEA levels, pathological staging, type of surgery, and histopathological characteristics, outcome, and follow-up. For analysis of pre- and postradiotherapy imaging results and we reviewed all the CT images and reports on a picture archiving and communication system (PACS).
Study Design
We retrospectively collected pre- and postradiotherapy imaging results, surgery, and follow-up findings of patients with LARC. To evaluate the sensitivity, specificity, and impact on treatment strategies of systemic restaging after neoadjuvant CRT, a cost benefit study was carried out to assess direct costs and benefits.
Setting and Participants
Between January 2007 and April 2013, 414 newly diagnosed patients with histologically confirmed LARC (cT3–4 or cN+ by endorectal ultrasonography, and/or MRI) who underwent neoadjuvant CRT at our cancer center were included. We excluded 20 patients with metastasis, suspicious metastasis, or indeterminate lesions before neoadjuvant therapy; and 8 patients who did not receive restaging with chest and abdominal computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Data including age, gender, radiation time and dose, simultaneous chemotherapy, pre- and postradiotherapy imaging results and CEA levels, pathological staging, type of surgery, and histopathological characteristics, outcome, and follow-up were queried from colorectal surgery database.
MRI and/or endorectal ultrasound was used for local staging before and after radiotherapy. Restaging of chest and abdomen is performed ∼5 weeks after radiotherapy with a chest CT and an abdominal and pelvic CT or MRI. Whenever there was any doubt, the case would be presented to a multidisciplinary team that consisted of colorectal surgeons, hepatobiliary surgeons, radiation oncologists, and radiologists.
Patients were treated with a long course of CRT. The total dosage was 46 Gy consisted of 23 fractions of 2 Gy to clinical target volume without a boost dose before 2012, and with the boost 4 Gy consisted of 2 fractions of 2 Gy to gross tumor volume as the total dosage was 50 Gy from 2012. Chemotherapy was delivered concomitant to radiotherapy with the modified XELOX regimen (Oxaliplatin 100 mg/m2 d1, d22, Capecitabine 1000 mg/m2 bid, d1–14, d22–35). Patients received surgery 6 to 10 weeks after completion of radiotherapy.
CT/MRI Imaging Protocol
CT
All the included patients underwent nonenhanced and enhanced CT scan at the same time. Using a BrillianceTM16 (Philips Medical Systems, Best, The Netherlands) helical scanner, CT imaging was carried out with the following parameters: 5 mm slice thickness, 120 kV voltage, 200 mA current, and 256 × 256 matrix. An intravenous bolus dose of 100 mL of a nonionic iodinated contrast agent (iopromide; Ultravist; Schering) was administered at a rate of 2.5 mL/s for the patients after nonenhanced CT imaging. Enhanced CT images were acquired at 60 s following the contrast agent injection. (Detailed in our colleagues’ previous work.5)
MR Imaging
All the patients underwent MRI of the liver with a 3.0 T system (Trio Tim; Siemens Medical Systems, Germany) using an 8-channel torso matrix coil and an eightchannel spine coil array. The abdominal MRI protocol included unenhanced axial and coronal T1-weighted sequences; axial T2-weighted sequences; and contrast-enhanced axial and coronal T1-weighted sequences. The sequence parameters for these sequences were as follows: T1-weighted flash transversal sequence (TR/TE, 140/2.5 ms; slice thickness, 5.0 mm with a 20% interslice gap; FOV, 328 9 420 mm; matrix scan, 225 9 320) and T2-weighted turbo-spin echo sequence (TR/TE, 3,000/96 ms; slice thickness, 5.0 mm with a 20% interslice gap; FOV, 315 9 420 mm; matrix scan, 225 9 320). An intravenous dose of 0.1 mmol/kg of contrast agent (Gadolinium-DTPA, magnevist; Schering) at a speed of 3 mL/s had been administered to the patients undergoing contrast-enhanced MR scanning.
Cost Benefit Analysis
We conducted a cost-benefit study to assess the costs and benefits of the process to restage LARC patients with CT/MRI.6 For patients who eventually avoided resections because of metastasis diagnosed by CT/MRI, we presumed that the saved expenses were attributed by CT/MRI. Direct cost of restaging with CT/MRI and operation spend were included in cost analysis. Cost data from our accounting department reflected the actual charge, including inpatient and outpatient costs, such as costs of the surgery, ICU, complications (eg anastomotic leakage, wound infection, and intestinal obstruction), diagnostic tests and medicines. Spend of palliative or adjuvant chemotherapy was not included due to limited follow-up at the time of analysis. Cost are expressed in US dollars.
Statistical Analysis
SPSS statistical software (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, version 15) were used for data analysis. Continuous variables were presented as means with standard deviations or medians with ranges, categorical variables were demonstrated as frequencies (percentages), and descriptive statistics were illustrated as median or interquartile range (IQR).
ETHICS
The study was performed following approval by the ethic committee of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center. The process of the whole study is noninvasive, and without any patients’ benefits hurt. Each patient has signed the informed consent form for their clinical records to be used in this study before neoadjuvant CRT. Ethics committees approved this consent procedure. All the patients’ information was anonymized and de-identified prior to analysis.
RESULTS
Clinicopathological Characteristics
The median time between the first staging scan and the start of radiotherapy was 4 weeks (IQR 3–5). The time between end of radiotherapy and the restaging scan was 5 weeks (IQR 4–6). The median time between the 2 scans was 14 weeks (IQR 12–17). The median time between the end of radiotherapy and surgery was 7.5 weeks (IQR 6.5–8.5). (Figure 1).
FIGURE 1.

Timeline.
The 386 patients who underwent neoadjuvant CRT were included between January 2007 and April 2013. Clinicopathological features of the patients included in this study are summarized in Table 1. All the patients received a chest CT scan, an abdominal and pelvic CT/MRI before and after CRT.
TABLE 1.
Demographic and Clinicopathologic Characteristics

Imaging Findings
Twelve patients (3.1%) had newly emerging lesions on the restaging scan after radiotherapy, 7 of whom were diagnosed as metastasizes by CT/MRI and confirmed by pathology or follow-up later (1 peritoneal carcinomatosis, 4 liver metastases, 1 liver and lung metastasis, and 1 supraclavicular lymph node metastasis). The treatment strategies were adjusted accordingly in 5 patients, among whom laparotomy was avoided in 3 patients and synchronous metastasectomy was performed in another 2 patients. Treatment strategies were not changed in the rest 7 patients (Figure 2). One patient with suspicious liver metastasis received laparotomy and found that the primary tumor was unresectable. One patient with undetermined supraclavicular lymph nodes underwent resection of primary tumor. The supraclavicular lymph nodes were confirmed as metastases by follow-up.
FIGURE 2.

The treatment process. CRT = chemoradiotherapy, LAR = low anterior resection, LrR = liver resection, pts = patients, RFA = radiofrequency ablation.
Five patients who were diagnosed as distant metastases were not confirmed by surgery or long-term follow-up. Among the 5 patients, 1 with suspicious liver metastasis underwent surgery of rectal cancer followed by chemotherapy. The liver lesion enlarged at the re-evaluation scan and then received hepatectomy. The final pathology was confirmed as primary hepatocellular carcinoma. All the 5 patients are alive with no evidence of disease (Table 2).
TABLE 2.
Details of Patients Diagnosed as Metastases by CT/MRI After Chemoradiation

Surgical Findings
Ten patients were diagnosed as metastases intra-operatively (5 peritoneal metastasis, 2 peritoneal and ovary metastasis, 2 liver metastasis, 1 retroperitoneal lymph node metastasis), all of whom failed to be detected by restaging CT/MRI. The treatment strategies were adjusted in all the patients accordingly (Table 3).
TABLE 3.
Details of Patients Diagnosed as Metastases Intra-Operatively But Not Detected by Restaging CT/MRI Before Surgery

Treatment and Outcome for Patients With Metastases
Among the 7 patients diagnosed as metastases by restaging CT/MRI and confirmed by surgery or follow-up, 5 patients received palliative chemotherapy with or without palliative surgery and died of disease progress. Two patients received low anterior resection (LAR) and liver resection with or without percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for liver metastasis with curative intent; till the latest follow-up (5 and 12 months after surgery), they were alive with no evidence of disease. The median overall survival of the 7 patients confirmed as metastases from rectal cancer is 14 months.
For the 10 patients with metastasis detected intra-operatively, 2 patients with liver metastasis received LAR and liver resection with curative intent, 1 of whom died of cancer progress with an overall survival of 13 months, whereas the other was still alive with no evidence of disease till the last follow-up. The other 8 patients received palliative surgery and chemotherapy. Till the last follow-up, 6 of them died of cancer progress, and 2 were still alive with the disease. The median overall survival time of the 10 patients were 15.5 months (Table 3).
Cost Benefit Analysis
The median length of hospital stay was 12 days (range, 9–25 days). The cost analysis of operations for LARC at our hospital indicated mean costs of $2881 (range, $981–$8981) per case; thus each day on the floor accounted for $473 (range, $191–$1375). Costs of chest and abdominal CT amounted to $326 ($109 for chest CT, $217 for abdominal CT), whereas the charge of chest CT and abdominal MRI is $509 ($109 for chest CT, $400 for abdominal MRI). In the light of our series of 386 patients with LARC, 3 patients avoided surgery because of metastasis diagnosed by CT/MRI, $25671 could be saved by preventing 3 resections. Total cost of CT/MRI for all 386 patients amounted to $140110. The amount of $114439 was finally wasted by the additional use of CT/MRI, which accounts for $296 per patient. The savings-to-cost ratio is 0.18 for restaging with chest and abdominal CT/MRI scan after neoadjuvant CRT (Table 4).
TABLE 4.
Cost Savings Associated With Use of CT/MRI

CEA and Imaging Results
Twenty patients had abnormal and elevated (compared to the CEA levels before CRT) CEA levels, 11 of them (5 liver metastases, 1 supraclavicular lymph node metastasis, 4 peritoneal metastasis, 1 peritoneal and ovary metastasis) were confirmed by pathology or follow-up later. The sensitivity, specificity accuracy, negative predictive value, positive predictive values, and Youden index of CEA and CT/MRI were (64.7%, 41.1%), (97.5%, 98.6%), (55%, 58.3%), (98.3%, 97.3%), (0.622, 0.397), respectively (Table 5). Although not statistically significant, CEA was more sensitive in detecting metastasis (P = 0.516), but with lower specificity accuracy compared to CT/MRI (P = 0.117).
TABLE 5.
CEA and Restaging CT/MRI Findings

DISCUSSION
One of the concerns of long course CRT (∼3 months) is the risk of tumor progress during treatment, as the current regimens of CRT function mainly on local but not systemic control. Restaging patients with LARC after neoadjuvant CRT has the potential advantage of early detection of metastases and altering treatment strategies.
The clinical value of systemic restaging after CRT is highly dependent on the consequences of the treatment strategy when there are additional diagnostic findings by restaging. In the present study, a relatively low incidence (3.1%) of metastases was found after CRT. Only 7 patients were finally confirmed as metastases by surgery of long-term follow-up, among whom only 5 patients’ treatment strategies were changed. Moreover, the restaging CT/MRI is not sensitive enough to detect peritoneal metastases or metastases of small size. Ten patients (2.6%) with peritoneal metastases or small metastases failed to be detected by restaging CT/MRI. The low yield and false negative of restaging strategy question the value of systemic restaging after neoadjuvant CRT.
Also, restaging strategies were found to be not cost-effective in 1 study. In our series of 386 patients with LARC, the savings-to-cost ratio was only 0.18, the saving of excluding patients from resection because of detection of metastasis does not come up to the cost of restaging CT/MRI of chest and abdomen. The changes of the 5 patients’ treatment strategies did not result in reduction of treatment cost. Neither shortening the length of hospital stay nor the avoidance of surgery reversed the cost-effectiveness, indicating the limited value of restaging CT/MRI.
Abnormal and elevated (compared to the CEA levels before CRT) CEA level was not enough to change treatment strategy. However, the CEA-guided CT/MRI restaging seems to be promising. If restaging was applied to patients with abnormal and elevated CEA levels, 366 patients would avoid unnecessary CT/MRI test, although 2 patients would be missed.
Of note, the prognosis of patients developing metastases during CRT is poor. The median overall survival of the 7 patients with metastasis detected by restaging CT/MRI is only 14 months. This is probably due to the bad tumor biology. As demonstrated in the previous study, tumor progress while on chemotherapy is associated with poor prognosis and represents a contraindication to surgery. The 5-year overall survival in liver resection for multiple colorectal metastases is only 8% in patients who progress during chemotherapy compared to 37% in those whose diseases are controlled by chemotherapy.7 Furthermore, patients who develop early recurrence after adjuvant chemotherapy is also linked with poor prognosis. Although early surveillance might detect the recurrences, the long-term outcome was not improved.8 The poor prognosis in patients developing metastases during CRT also questions the value of systemic restaging after neoadjuvant CRT.
The current study detects a far lower incidence of metastases in systemic restaging CT/MRI than the previous report.5 The discrepancy probably due to the following facts. First, the study includes patients with metastasis or indeterminate lesions before neoadjuvant treatment. As the rate of progressive disease in metastatic colorectal cancer treated with fluoropyrimidine alone is as high as 16.2% to 55.3%,9–11 the inappropriate inclusion of metastasis or indeterminate lesions would inevitably result in more restaging findings. Second, the regimens of neoadjuvant treatment are quite heterogeneous. Some patients received CRT, whereas others received radiotherapy only. As radiotherapy is less effective in systemic control, the risk of distant metastases is much higher. As a result, the conclusion of restaging in patients treated with radiotherapy might not be suitable for patients treated with CRT. Third, the time span of the study is as long as 11 years (between January 2000 and December 2010), and above all, it is not a consecutive series which might be subject to the selection bias. Finally, about one-fourth of patients received a chest x-ray before CRT, while received a chest CT scan after CRT. As is widely accepted that chest x-ray is far less sensitive for the diagnosis of pulmonary metastases compared to chest CT, the inconsistence in the diagnostic methods might also result in more restaging findings.12
Unlike colon cancer, LARC has a higher risk of developing lung metastases instead of liver metastases.13–16 However, in the present study and Ninos Ayez's study, liver metastases was the majority. There are several possible reasons for this. First of all, definite pulmonary metastasis usually requires consecutive imagings because metastases are often too small to be determined initially. Therefore, the time span from detection to confirmation of lung metastasis is longer than it is for extra-pulmonary relapse.17 Furthermore, CEA, with reported sensitivity of >80% in hepatic metastasis,18 is of little value in determining pulmonary metastasis (with reported sensitivity of 15%).13 Therefore, pulmonary metastases may have been missed by screening with CEA. The recurrence patterns of LARC also question the value of systemic restaging in a short interval.
Besides CT/MRI, there are also several other imaging techniques which might serve for restaging. As a technique based on metabolic changes instead of anatomical and structural changes, 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) has the potential to show tumor activity ahead of CT or MRI.19 Previous studies have shown that PET is more sensitive than CT for recurrence.20,21 However, at present there is no defined role for routine FDG-PET in the preoperative evaluation of nonmetastatic rectal cancer after neoadjuvant CRT. Ruby et al found assessment of rectal cancer response to neoadjuvant CRT by FDG-PET provides no prognostic information.22 Meanwhile, a systematic review conducted by Brush et al concluded that FDG PET/CT is cost-effective in the pre-operative staging of recurrent rectal and metastatic disease but not in primary rectal cancers.23 Ultrasonography might also be used for restaging. In the current cohort, most of the confirmed metastases locating in liver and might be detected by ultrasonography. As ultrasonography is less expensive and with less radiation exposure, it would be more reasonable to use ultrasonography as a method of restaging if restaging strategy is considered.
Restaging with CT/MRI may cause a prolonged period of uncertainty, unnecessary anxiety for patients and families, possibly delaying surgical treatment, and moreover, summative radiation exposure and costs. Cumulative CT radiation exposure added incrementally to baseline cancer risk. In a study by Aaron Sodickson, CT exposures were estimated to produce 0.7% of total expected baseline cancer incidence and 1% of total cancer mortality.24
We are aware, however, of some other limitations in this study. First, this study was performed in a single-institution retrospective manner. Second, this is not a randomized control trial, which make the result not so strong. However, since the incidence of metastases is very low, the number of patients required for a randomized clinical trial would be very large. As a result, the design of such a trial is not practical. In addition, we are aware that not restaging all patients may harm a few, for example, patients with indeterminate lesions. It would be desirable to have some clinical features (such as T stage, N stage, CEA value, the time span between CRT and surgery) that could potentially help us identify patients with high risk of progress after CRT.
In summary, the present study shows a limited clinical value of a routine preoperative restaging of chest and abdomen with CT/MR in patients with LARC after neoadjuvant CRT because of the low incidence and false negative. According to our results, routine restaging with chest and abdominal CT/MRI should not be proposed for patients after neoadjuvant CRT. Alternative restaging strategies such as CEA-guided restaging need to be explored.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We acknowledge Junping Yan for her input on statistical analysis.
Footnotes
Abbreviations: CEA = carcino-embryonic antigen, CRT = chemoradiotherapy, CT = computed tomography, FDG-PET = 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography, IQR = interquartile range, LAR = low anterior resection, LARC = locally advanced rectal cancer, MRI = magnetic resonance imaging, RFA = radiofrequency ablation.
G-CL, XZ, EX, and XA equally contributed to this study.
Z-ZP and P-RD equally contributed to this study.
Funding: this work was supported by Nature Science Foundation of China (Grant number: 81101591).
The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.
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