. 2016 Oct 12;9:543. doi: 10.1186/s13071-016-1824-7

Table 3.

Predicted mean prevalence by matrices A-D for dataset 1 (full Uganda cohort baseline year 0 – year 3)

	Low intensity (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI)			Moderate intensity (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI)			High intensity (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI)			Overall prevalence (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI)
Matrix	Year 1	Year 2	Year 3	Year 1	Year 2	Year 3	Year 1	Year 2	Year 3	Year 1	Year 2	Year 3
Observed prevalence dataset 1	0.134(0.111–0.160)	0.099 (0.080–0.123)	0.102 (0.082–0.126)	0.075 (0.058–0.096)	0.021 (0.013–0.035)	0.033 (0.023–0.049)	0.035 (0.024–0.051)	0.016 (0.009–0.028)	0.020 (0.011–0.031)	0.244 (0.214–0.276)	0.137 (0.114–0.163)	0.154 (0.130–0.182)
Matrix A Full dataset	0.142 (0.123–0.161)	0.108 (0.091–0.126)	0.095^a (0.077–0.113)	0.075^a (0.062–0.090)	0.044 (0.033 – 0.056)	0.033^a (0.023–0.045)	0.044 (0.033–0.055)	0.023 (0.015–0.032)	0.017^a (0.010–0.026)	0.261 (0.240–0.282)	0.175 (0.151 – 0.200)	0.144^a (0.119–0.171)
Matrix B Uganda year 1 to year 2	0.135^a (0.112–0.158)	0.105 (0.086–0.126)	0.090 (0.072–0.109)	0.069 (0.051–0.090)	0.039 (0.028 – 0.051)	0.028 (0.019–0.038)	0.048 (0.031–0.066)	0.024 (0.015–0.036)	0.016 (0.009–0.024)	0.252^a (0.225–0.278)	0.168 (0.141 – 0.197)	0.133 (0.108–0.160)
Matrix C 3 selected districts	0.152 (0.122–0.183)	0.096^a (0.071–0.122)	0.082 (0.057–0.108)	0.045 (0.027 – 0.065)	0.016^a (0.008–0.027)	0.009 (0.003 – 0.017)	0.027 (0.013–0.043)	0.011^a (0.003–0.021)	0.008 (0.001 – 0.018)	0.223 (0.193–0.255)	0.123^a (0.093–0.156)	0.099 (0.069 – 0.132)
Matrix D Mali full dataset	0.165 (0.141 – 0.190)	0.122 (0.100 – 0.146)	0.095^a (0.073– 0.117)	0.081 (0.062–0.101)	0.051 (0.037 – 0.068)	0.035 (0.023–0.049)	0.042^a (0.028–0.057)	0.021^a (0.012–0.032)	0.031 (0.007–0.021)	0.288 (0.264 – 0.312)	0.195 (0.164 – 0.226)	0.143 (0.113–0.175)

Bold = observed point prevalence values fell outside of the predicted boundaries

^aClosest predictions to observed values