Table 5.
Predicted mean prevalence by matrices A-C for dataset 3 (cross-sectional Ugandan data)
| Low intensity (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI) | Moderate intensity (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI) | High intensity (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI) | Overall prevalence (predicted mean prevalence and 95 % CI) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matrix | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
| Observed prevalence dataset 3 | 0.150 (0.139–0.161) |
0.122 (0.112–0.132) |
0.104 (0.094–0.115) | 0.085 (0.077–0.094) |
0.051 (0.044–0.053) |
0.061 (0.053–0.070) |
0.059 (0.052–0.070) |
0.032 (0.028–0.038) |
0.054 (0.048–0.062) | 0.294 (0.280–0.308) | 0.205 (0.193–0.218) | 0.219 (0.205–0.233) |
|
Matrix A
Full dataset |
0.149a (0.130–0.168) | 0.111a (0.093–0.128) | 0.095a
(0.078–0.114) |
0.082a (0.068–0.097) | 0.047a (0.035–0.059) | 0.034 (0.024 – 0.045) | 0.049 (0.037–0.061) | 0.024 (0.016–0.034) | 0.017 (0.010 – 0.026) | 0.280a (0.259–0.301) | 0.182a (0.157–0.207) | 0.147 (0.121 – 0.173) |
|
Matrix B
Uganda year 1 to year 2 |
0138 (0.114–0.163) | 0.108 (0.088–0.128) | 0.091 (0.073–0.110) |
0.075 (0.053–0.098) | 0.041 (0.029–0.054) |
0.028
(0.019 – 0.039) |
0.052a (0.033–0.073) | 0.026a (0.016–0.039) |
0.017
(0.009 – 0.025) |
0.265 (0.235–0.295) | 0.174 (0.146–0.205) |
0.136
(0.110 – 0.163) |
|
Matrix C
3 selected districts |
0.160 (0.128–0.193) | 0.098 (0.074–0.123) | 0.082 (0.057–0.108) |
0.050 (0.029 – 0.072) | 0.017 (0.008 – 0.029) |
0.009
(0.003 – 0.018) |
0.030 (0.014 – 0.049) | 0.011 (0.003 – 0.022) |
0.008
(0.001 – 0.018) |
0.240 (0.208 – 0.273) | 0.127 (0.096 – 0.159) |
0.100
(0.070 – 0.131) |
Bold = observed point prevalence values fell outside of the predicted boundaries
a Closest predictions to observed values