Table 5.
<1 year follow‐up | 1–<5 year follow‐up | 5–<10 year follow‐up | 0–<10 year follow‐up | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | Controlb(n) | Caseb(n) | HR | 95% CI | |
Overall | 0.99 | 0.84–1.17 | 0.77 | 0.72–0.83 | 0.89 | 0.84–0.95 | 9714 | 11812 | 0.87 | 0.84–0.90 |
Sex | ||||||||||
Men | 1.02 | 0.80–1.29 | 0.79 | 0.72–0.88 | 0.83 | 0.76–0.92 | 3126 | 6350 | 0.90 | 0.85–0.95i |
Women | 0.96 | 0.76–1.21 | 0.75 | 0.68–0.82 | 0.94 | 0.86–1.03 | 6588 | 5462 | 0.84 | 0.80–0.88i |
Race | ||||||||||
White | 0.97 | 0.81–1.17 | 0.75 | 0.70–0.81 | 0.90 | 0.84–0.97 | 8160 | 10081 | 0.86 | 0.83–0.89i |
Non‐white | 1.35 | 0.98–1.85 | 0.94 | 0.81–1.10 | 0.90 | 0.77–1.06 | 1554 | 1731 | 0.96 | 0.88–1.04 |
Age at cancer diagnosis, (years) | ||||||||||
66–<70 | 1.25 | 0.91–1.71 | 0.70 | 0.61–0.80 | 0.96 | 0.86–1.08 | 3665 | 1338 | 0.90 | 0.84–0.97 |
70–<80 | 0.87 | 0.70–1.09 | 0.79 | 0.72–0.86 | 0.87 | 0.81–0.94 | 8389 | 8193 | 0.87 | 0.83–0.90i |
80–<84 | 1.05 | 0.75–1.49 | 0.78 | 0.66–0.91 | – | – | 3584 | 2281 | 0.85 | 0.79–0.91i |
Smoking‐related cancersc | 1.14 | 0.91–1.41 | 0.83 | 0.74–0.93 | 0.91 | 0.80–1.03 | 9714 | 2286 | 0.91 | 0.86–0.96i |
Non‐smoking‐related cancersd | 0.97 | 0.81–1.16 | 0.77 | 0.71–0.82 | 0.90 | 0.84–0.96 | 9714 | 9526 | 0.86 | 0.83–0.89i |
Individual cancer sites | ||||||||||
Oral cavitye | 1.30 | 0.83–2.05 | 0.65 | 0.47–0.91 | 0.63 | 0.38–1.05 | 9714 | 105 | 0.83 | 0.68–1.01 |
Esophageal | 1.26 | 0.74–2.17 | 0.69 | 0.40–1.20 | 0.43 | 0.11–1.72 | 9714 | 44 | 0.93 | 0.69–1.26 |
Stomach | 0.91 | 0.53–1.55 | 0.83 | 0.60–1.16 | 0.98 | 0.60–1.58 | 9714 | 100 | 0.83 | 0.67–1.02 |
Small intestine | 0.57 | 0.21–1.60 | 0.78 | 0.46–1.35 | 0.47 | 0.15–1.47 | 9714 | 25 | 0.68 | 0.46–1.02 |
Colon | 1.23 | 0.94–1.61 | 0.85 | 0.74–0.97 | 0.92 | 0.79–1.07 | 9714 | 1256 | 0.92 | 0.86–0.99 |
Rectumf | 1.16 | 0.82–1.66 | 0.55 | 0.44–0.69 | 0.93 | 0.73–1.18 | 9714 | 370 | 0.79 | 0.71–0.89i |
Pancreas | 0.66 | 0.39–1.11 | 0.35 | 0.17–0.72 | 0.53 | 0.13–2.18 | 9714 | 45 | 0.68 | 0.50–0.92 |
Larynx | 0.61 | 0.29–1.27 | 0.68 | 0.47–0.97 | 0.74 | 0.45–1.20 | 9714 | 73 | 0.72 | 0.57–0.92 |
Lung and bronchus | 1.10 | 0.84–1.44 | 0.88 | 0.75–1.03 | 0.96 | 0.77–1.20 | 9714 | 791 | 0.96 | 0.88–1.04 |
Melanomag | 0.79 | 0.49–1.26 | 0.76 | 0.60–0.96 | 0.89 | 0.68–1.17 | 8160 | 303 | 0.82 | 0.71–0.93 |
Breast (female) | 0.84 | 0.62–1.13 | 0.77 | 0.68–0.87 | 0.98 | 0.87–1.10 | 6588 | 2187 | 0.88 | 0.83–0.94i |
Cervix | 1.94 | 0.85–3.93 | 1.01 | 0.65–1.57 | 1.25 | 0.70–2.21 | 6588 | 64 | 1.30 | 1.00–1.69 |
Uterush | 1.04 | 0.68–1.58 | 0.63 | 0.50–0.78 | 0.84 | 0.67–1.05 | 6588 | 385 | 0.80 | 0.71–0.90i |
Ovary | 0.60 | 0.32–1.12 | 0.31 | 0.21–0.47 | 1.19 | 0.77–1.81 | 6588 | 89 | 0.58 | 0.46–0.72i |
Prostate | 0.92 | 0.62–1.22 | 0.83 | 0.74–0.93 | 0.86 | 0.77–0.96 | 3126 | 3574 | 0.90 | 0.85–0.96i |
Urinary bladder | 1.09 | 0.79–1.49 | 0.88 | 0.75–1.03 | 0.95 | 0.79–1.14 | 9714 | 779 | 0.97 | 0.89–1.06 |
Kidney/renal | 1.27 | 0.85–1.89 | 0.79 | 0.62–1.00 | 0.84 | 0.61–1.14 | 9714 | 243 | 0.83 | 0.72–0.96 |
Thyroid | 0.69 | 0.34–1.41 | 0.56 | 0.36–0.86 | 0.87 | 051–1.46 | 9717 | 57 | 0.71 | 0.54–0.94 |
Leukemia | 0.79 | 0.50–1.26 | 0.64 | 0.48–0.84 | 0.71 | 0.48–1.05 | 9714 | 163 | 0.72 | 0.61–0.85i |
Models have been adjusted for race, sex and number of doctors' visits, stratified on birth year and cancer registry area, except that sex was not adjusted for in the subpopulation based on sex, nor race, in the subpopulation defined by race. There were a total of 742,809 cancer patients and 420,518 persons in the comparison population. Data source is SEER‐Medicare. Cancers were classified using the “SEER site recode with Kaposi sarcoma and mesothelioma.” Refer to http://seer.cancer.gov and for details, see site recode ICD‐O‐3.
Number of AD cases.
Smoking‐related cancers include oral cavity and pharynx, lip, pancreas, lung and bronchus, larynx, cervix, kidney and renal pelvis, bladder, esophagus, and stomach.
Non‐smoking‐related cancers include all cancers other than smoking‐related cancers.
Includes tongue, floor of mouth, gum and mouth, tonsil, oropharynx, hypopharynx.
Includes rectum and rectosigmoid junction.
Only whites.
Includes corpus uterine and uterus, not otherwise specified.
P‐values for the associations between the groups (e.g., men) and specific cancer sites with PD (for 0 < 10 years) that were statistically significant after multiple comparison corrections (n = 28 comparisons) at a level of P < 0.0018).