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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Oct 31.
Published in final edited form as: Prev Sci. 2014 Dec;15(6):897–906. doi: 10.1007/s11121-013-0449-8

Table 4.

Conditional probabilities for four class model of substance use

Class prevalence Frequent poly-substance users
6.5 %
Moderate poly-substance users
9.1 %
Alcohol experimenters
25.8 %
Non-users
58.5 %
Smoke
 Never used 0.107 0.200 0.502 0.953
 No recent use 0.239 0.456 0.476 0.042
 1 or 2 days recent use 0.155 0.275 0.017 0.004
 3 to 9 days recent use 0.182 0.063 0.003 0.000
 10 to 30 days recent use 0.317 0.006 0.003 0.001
Alcohol
 Never used 0.028 0.026 0.178 0.867
 No recent use 0.084 0.124 0.525 0.081
 1 or 2 days recent use 0.159 0.503 0.221 0.041
 3 to 9 days recent use 0.361 0.308 0.051 0.006
 10 to 30 days recent use 0.368 0.039 0.025 0.004
Marijuana
 Never used 0.083 0.266 0.635 0.994
 No recent use 0.180 0.300 0.304 0.002
 1 or 2 days recent use 0.133 0.268 0.036 0.002
 3 to 9 days recent use 0.178 0.131 0.014 0.001
 10 to 30 days recent use 0.426 0.034 0.012 0.001