Table 3. Associations between baseline HAA and mortality over 12.2 years of follow-up in 6,808 MESA participants.
| HAA | P for trend | Overall | P value | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||||||
| Quartile 1 | Quartile 2 | Quartile 3 | Quartile 4 | ||||
| Number at-risk | 1699 | 1699 | 1700 | 1699 | 6808 | ||
| Number of decedents | 252 | 237 | 283 | 321 | 1093 | ||
| Person-years of observation | 19,010 | 18,805 | 18,844 | 18,347 | 75,006 | ||
| Mortality rate per 1,000 PY | 13.3 | 12.6 | 15.0 | 17.5 | 14.6 | ||
| HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) per doubling of HAA | ||||||
| Model 1* | Ref | 1.15 (0.94 to 1.40) | 1.51 (1.23 to 1.87) | 1.94 (1.53 to 2.46) | <0.001 | 1.58 (1.39 to 1.79) | <0.001 |
| Model 2† | Ref | 1.15 (0.95 to 1.41) | 1.52 (1.23 to 1.88) | 1.91 (1.51 to 2.43) | <0.001 | 1.55 (1.37 to 1.77) | <0.001 |
| Model 2, stratified by smoking status‡ | |||||||
| Ever-smokers | Ref | 1.35 (1.05 to 1.72) | 1.65 (1.27 to 2.15) | 2.42 (1.81 to 3.22) | <0.001 | 1.78 (1.50 to 2.11) | <0.001 |
| Never-smokers | Ref | 1.02 (0.73 to 1.43) | 1.40 (0.99 to 2.00) | 1.55 (1.02 to 2.35) | 0.02 | 1.38 (1.12 to 1.70) | 0.002 |
PY = person-years, HAA = high attenuation areas; HR = hazard ratio; CI = confidence interval
Adjusted for age, gender, race/ethnicity, educational attainment, height, BMI, waist circumference, smoking status, cigarette pack-years, glomerular filtration rate (GFR), study site, mA dose, total volume of imaged lung and percent emphysema. Adjustment for smoking status and pack-years was excluded from smoking-stratified models. All covariates measured at baseline examination in 2000 to 2002.
Model 2 is additionally adjusted for alcohol use, exercise, coronary artery calcium, diabetes medication use, insulin use, fasting glucose level, hypertension, antihypertensive medication use, systolic and diastolic blood pressures, cholesterol medication use, total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, c-reactive protein level, d-dimer level and history of cancer.
P for interaction 0.56.