Table 5.

Predictors of trajectory class membership for men and women, based on stepwise logistic regression

	b1	b2	b3	R2	−2LL	Δ−2LL
Men’s Trajectory Predictors
1. Early childhood predictors
Family expression of alcoholism	2.4**	1.9**	2.5**
Childhood antisocial behavior	0.12***	0.12***	0.11***
Childhood maltreatment	0.44	0.16	−0.03
Childhood ADHD	1.4*	0.71	0.65	.25	457.6
2. Adolescent predictors
Number of symptoms age 15	0.40	0.55	0.51
Age first drink	−0.14	0.05	0.04	.34	416.1	41.5***
3. Adult psychopathology predictors
Suicidality in lifetime			0.41***
Worst ever depression			0.03	.38	404.1	12**
Women’s Trajectory Predictors
1. Early childhood predictors
Family expression of alcoholism	0.99	0.71	0.68
Childhood antisocial behavior	0.14***	0.09***	0.07*
Childhood maltreatment	0.46	0.38	0.24	.16	562.2
2. Adolescent predictors
Number of symptoms age 15		0.40***	0.44***
Age first drink		0.14*	−0.17	.23	549.1	27.8*
3. Adult psychopathology predictors
Suicidality in lifetime			−0.41
Worst ever depression (baseline)			0.05	.27	590.0	13.5**

Note: −2LL, −2 Log likelihood; ADHD, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder.

^*p < .05.

^**p < .01.

^***p < .001.