Figure 2.

Imminent and delayed extinction risk for frogs in the Australian Wet Tropics. Forecast number of species persisting (a) and average number of patches of occupied habitat (b) using NPMs according to a business-as-usual (RCP8.5; orange) and policy-based intervention (RCP4.5; blue) greenhouse-gas-emission scenario. Species extinctions and patch loss after 2080 are delayed responses to the disappearance of climatically suitable areas and associated habitat degradation. Shaded areas show uncertainty bounds (±1 s.d. from the mean) due to demographic-based estimates.