Table 5.
Scenario | Denosumab vs. no treatment | Denosumab vs. generic alendronate | Denosumab vs. risedronate | Denosumab vs. strontium ranelate |
---|---|---|---|---|
Base–casea | 9,250 | 20,976 | 6,998 | 710 |
Discount rates (5%) | 9,576 | 22,622 | 6,868 | 133 |
Discount rates (0%) | 9,414 | 19,285 | 7,793 | 2,139 |
One year DAPS persistence | 10,656 | 28,501 | 8,548 | 214 |
Perfect persistence for all treatments | 6,902 | 58,449 | 6,817 | Cost saving |
Denosumab maximum offset time 2 years | 14,157 | 33,103 | 14,254 | 6,278 |
All treatments maximum offset time 2 years | 14,157 | 27,970 | 11,897 | 5,127 |
10-year modelling horizon | 5,484 | 22,422 | 1,454 | Cost saving |
GIAEsb for alendronate/risedronate | 20,976 | 6,998 | – | |
Disutility from fractures decreased by 10% | 9,819 | 22,256 | 7,426 | 755 |
20% of excess mortality attributable to fractures | 4,886 | 18,231 | 2,267 | Cost saving |
10 year treatment duration | 8,758 | 21,455 | 6,457 | Cost saving |
Mortality after hip and vertebral fractures 3 years | 6,084 | 18,780 | 3,475 | Cost saving |
Mortality after hip and vertebral fractures 5 years | 8,157 | 20,182 | 5,766 | Cost saving |
The base case assumed discount rates of 3%, improved persistence for 3 years, max offset time of 5 years for all treatments, life-time horizon, no adverse events for any treatment, 5-year maximum treatment duration, 8 years of increased post-fracture mortality after hip and vertebral fractures
Gastrointestinal adverse events