Table 2.

Projected numbers of ADL disabled elders (in thousands), by age, marital status, and living arrangement with children, under the Medium scenario, 2010–2050

	Disabled young elders aged 65–79					Disabled oldest-old aged 80+					Total disabled elders
	married		unmarried		total	married		unmarried		total	married		unmarried		total
year	living with child	Not with child	living with child	living alone		living with child	Not with child	living with child	living alone		living with child	Not with child	living with child	living alone
2010	1,688	1,178	1,367	476	4,709	461	347	2,266	595	3,670	2,149	1,526	3,634	1,071	8,380
2020	2,714	1,882	1,812	644	7,052	752	531	3,327	1,012	5,622	3,466	2,413	5,138	1,657	12,674
2030	3,983	2,802	2,692	977	10,454	1,296	891	4,821	1,519	8,526	5,278	3,693	7,512	2,496	18,980
2040	5,423	3,823	3,634	1,489	14,369	2,177	1,525	7,837	2,539	14,078	7,601	5,347	11,471	4,028	28,447
2050	4,895	3,539	3,154	1,845	13,432	4,096	2,899	12,578	4,291	23,864	8,991	6,438	15,732	6,135	37,296
2010–30 annual growth rate %	4.4	4.4	3.4	3.7	4.1	5.3	4.8	3.8	4.8	4.3	4.6	4.5	3.7	4.3	4.2
2030–50 annual growth rate %	1.0	1.2	0.8	3.2	1.3	5.9	6.1	4.9	5.3	5.3	2.7	2.8	3.8	4.6	3.4
2010–50 annual growth rate%	2.7	2.8	2.1	3.4	2.7	5.6	5.5	4.4	5.1	4.8	3.6	3.7	3.7	4.5	3.8
Ratio of # in 2030 to 2010	2.4	2.4	2.0	2.1	2.2	2.8	2.6	2.1	2.6	2.3	2.5	2.4	2.1	2.3	2.3
Ratio of # in 2050 to 2010	2.9	3.0	2.3	3.9	2.9	8.9	8.4	5.6	7.2	6.5	4.2	4.2	4.3	5.7	4.5