Table 4.
Projected rural/urban distributions of young-old and oldest-old ADL disabled elders (in thousands), under the Medium scenario, 2010–2050
| Disabled young-old aged 65–79 | Disabled oldest-old aged 80+ | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| urban | rural | Total | urban | rural | Total | |||||||
| year | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % |
| 2010 | 2,356 | 50.0 | 2,354 | 50.0 | 4,709 | 100 | 1,677 | 45.7 | 1,993 | 54.3 | 3,670 | 100 |
| 2020 | 3,785 | 53.7 | 3,266 | 46.3 | 7,052 | 100 | 2,870 | 51.0 | 2,752 | 49.0 | 5,622 | 100 |
| 2030 | 6,358 | 60.8 | 4,096 | 39.2 | 10,454 | 100 | 4,682 | 54.9 | 3,844 | 45.1 | 8,526 | 100 |
| 2040 | 9,598 | 66.8 | 4,771 | 33.2 | 14,369 | 100 | 8,518 | 60.5 | 5,560 | 39.5 | 14,078 | 100 |
| 2050 | 10,320 | 76.8 | 3,112 | 23.2 | 13,432 | 100 | 15,841 | 66.4 | 8,023 | 33.6 | 23,864 | 100 |