Table 5.
Scenario | Denosumab vs. no treatment | Denosumab vs. generic alendronate | Denosumab vs. risedronate | Denosumab vs. strontium ranelate |
---|---|---|---|---|
Base casea | 14,458 | 27,090 | 11,545 | 5,015 |
Discount rates (5%) | 15,453 | 29,617 | 11,979 | 4,923 |
Discount rates (0%) | 13,638 | 24,135 | 11,501 | 5,707 |
1 year DAPS persistence | 15,937 | 35,114 | 12,983 | 4,313 |
Perfect persistence for all treatments | 11,936 | 66,604 | 10,750 | Cost saving |
Denosumab maximum offset time 2 years | 19,937 | 40,531 | 19,547 | 11,237 |
All treatments maximum offset time 2 years | 19,937 | 34,920 | 16,953 | 9,896 |
10-year modeling horizon | 13,833 | 32,993 | 8,752 | 10 |
GIAEsb for alendronate/risedronate | – | 26,595 | 11236 | – |
Disutility from fractures decreased by 10% | 16,362 | 30,633 | 13,057 | 5,685 |
20% of excess mortality attributable to fractures | 10,951 | 25,340 | 7,587 | 228 |
10 year treatment duration | 14,375 | 28,145 | 11,532 | 4,569 |
Mortality after hip and vertebral fractures 3 years | 11,675 | 25,504 | 8,347 | 1,276 |
Mortality after hip and vertebral fractures 5 years | 13,459 | 26,485 | 10,387 | 3,675 |
The base case assumed discount rates of 3%, improved persistence for 3-years, maximum offset time of 5 years for all treatments, life-time horizon, no adverse events for any treatment, 5-year maximum treatment duration, 8 years of increased post-fracture mortality after hip and vertebral fractures
Gastrointestinal adverse events