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. 2016 Mar 24;32(4):607–617. doi: 10.1007/s10453-016-9435-5

Table 2.

Mean seasonal spatial change in concentrations with respect to reference year 2009 per scenario, based on a spatial area of 20 × 20 km

Scenario Season Mean (%) Minimum (%) 2.5 percentile (%) 97.5 percentile (%) Maximum (%)
2030 Winter −0.5 −14.5 −7.2 0.1 1.7
2030 Spring 0.5 −9.5 −6.9 7.8 13.3
2030 Summer −0.2 −14.9 −8.0 10.0 13.4
2030 Autumn −0.6 −3.1 −2.3 10.6 14.1
2050-I Winter 0.2 −15.1 −6.7 3.9 10.7
2050-I Spring 0.8 −3.7 −2.7 9.0 12.6
2050-I Summer −0.2 −14.8 −8.0 10.0 13.5
2050-I Autumn −0.6 −2.5 −2.1 10.5 14.0
2050-II Winter −0.6 −14.5 −7.1 0.0 1.7
2050-II Spring 0.3 −7.7 −6.1 9.3 13.3
2050-II Summer 0.2 −14.2 −10.2 11.9 14.3
2050-II Autumn 0.0 −6.2 −4.5 3.7 6.2
2050-III Winter 5.6 −19.4 −12.0 13.8 31.3
2050-III Spring 0.7 −3.1 −2.0 8.8 12.4
2050-III Summer −0.5 −18.7 −11.0 7.7 10.2
2050-III Autumn 0.4 −9.0 −6.0 7.0 10.5
2050-IV Winter −1.1 −14.4 −7.3 −0.4 0.4
2050-IV Spring 0.4 −3.9 −3.2 8.8 12.4
2050-IV Summer 0.2 −14.9 −10.4 11.4 16.6
2050-IV Autumn −0.7 −11.0 −7.9 7.7 10.1