Table 1.
Model input | Value | Comments | Source (References) |
---|---|---|---|
Children population aged under 5 years | 1,000,000 | Assumed intended target of vaccination programs using the two vaccination technologiesa | Assumed |
Incidence of measles among children aged under 5 years | 10–100 % | Sensitivity analysis: incidence from studies among communities with low levels of measles vaccination | [10–12] |
Impact of increase in vaccination coverage (1 % increase) upon incidence of measles | 0.4–11.4 % | 1 % increase in first dose of vaccine: 2 % fall in reported incidence. Above 80 % vaccine coverage, for 1 % increase in coverage incidence fall by 11.4 % For each percentage increase in coverage with the second dose, a 0.4 % fall in incidence |
[5] |
Vaccine coverage | 0–100 % | Sensitivity analysis (range of coverage) | |
Vaccination dropout rate | 7.7 % | Proportion of people who received first dose of MCV but did not receive the second dose | [13] |
Vaccine efficacy | |||
Single dose (MCV1 only) | 85 % | Sensitivity analyses assuming MCV1 vaccine effectiveness = 77 % and 94 % | [14] |
Two dose (MCV1 + MCV2)b | 97.75 % | ||
Relative vaccine compliance rate in microneedle technologyc | 90 % (80–100 %) | Microneedle patch as a new technology might have a lower compliance rate. Sensitivity analysis conducted at different rates | Assumed |
MCV1 first dose of measles-containing vaccine (MCV), MCV2 second dose of MCV
aThe two vaccine administration technologies are: syringe-and-needle (existing technology) and micro-needle patches (in development)
bWe assumed 85 % vaccine effectiveness for a single dose and 97 % effectiveness for two doses in the base model
cBecause vaccination by a microneedle patch is a new technology, we assumed vaccine acceptability or the compliance rate will potentially be lower than the traditional syringe-and-needle injection technology