Table 5.
Marginal Effect of Juvenile Delinquency on Adult Criminal Behavior in the CLS
Criminal Behavior through age 26 | One or More Juvenile Court Petitions |
No Juvenile Court Petitions |
Effect of Juvenile Court Petition on Probability of Criminal Behavior |
---|---|---|---|
Any arrest, % | 70.8 | 36.1 | 34.7 |
Any felony arrest, % | 39.3 | 10.6 | 28.7 |
Any incarceration, % | 27.7 | 5.6 | 22.1 |
Any violent offense conviction, % | 20.5 | 5.4 | 15.1 |
Marginal effects estimates are from probit regression models predicting adult criminal behavior from juvenile Delinquency. Effects are adjusted for 8 indicators of early risk status (see Table 2), gender, race/ethnicity, child welfare history, and a dummy-coded variable for missing data on risk status. All Effects are significant at the .001 level.