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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Nov 18.
Published in final edited form as: Child Youth Serv Rev. 2010 May 2;32(8):1108–1120. doi: 10.1016/j.childyouth.2010.04.025

Table 5.

Factors Predicting Age of First Substance Use

All Males

Hazard Ratio Std. Err. z P>z Hazard Ratio Std. Err. z P>z
Female 1.132 0.140 1.010 0.314
Black 0.735 0.104 −2.170 0.030 * 0.732 0.121 −1.880 0.060
CPC preschool participation (ages 3-4) 0.867 0.086 −1.450 0.148 0.891 0.101 −1.020 0.309
Child protection services (ages 4-9) 1.394 0.167 2.780 0.005 ** 1.407 0.204 2.360 0.018 *
Family conflict (ages 5-10) 1.203 0.169 1.310 0.189 1.353 0.226 1.810 0.070
School mobility (ages 6-9) 1.044 0.056 0.800 0.426 0.998 0.061 −0.020 0.980
CPC school-age participation (ages 6-9) 1.027 0.099 0.280 0.781 1.038 0.120 0.320 0.747
Social maturity (ages 7-9) 1.005 0.011 0.440 0.662 1.005 0.013 0.420 0.675
Family risk (age 8) 1.055 0.029 1.960 0.050 * 1.067 0.035 2.000 0.046 *
Parent expectations (ages 8-10) 1.034 0.062 0.550 0.579 0.932 0.065 −1.010 0.314
Intrinsic motivation (ages 9-10) 1.056 0.058 1.000 0.315 1.060 0.066 0.940 0.349
No trouble-making behavior (ages 9-12) 1.023 0.029 0.820 0.413 1.027 0.031 0.890 0.375
Reading achievement (age 10) 0.999 0.004 −0.240 0.814 1.000 0.004 −0.110 0.914
School mobility (ages 10-14) 1.315 0.096 3.750 0.000 *** 1.257 0.109 2.650 0.008 **
School quality (ages 10-14) 0.820 0.125 −1.300 0.195 0.771 0.139 −1.440 0.150
Parent substance abuse experience (ages 10-15) 0.981 0.145 −0.130 0.898 0.832 0.155 −0.990 0.324
Deviant peer affiliation (age 16) 1.098 0.095 1.080 0.279 1.095 0.109 0.910 0.362

Wald Chi-squared 41.64 32.71
Prob. > Chi-squared 0.00 0.0081

Note:

***

p<0.001

**

p<0.01

*

p<0.05.