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. 2016 Oct 11;115(9):1147–1155. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2016.304

Table 1. Incidence age standardised rates (ASRs) per 100 000 15–90+ year olds, cases, total percentage changes and average annual percentage changes (AAPC) for 1993 (observed), 2014 (observed) and 2035 (projected) by cancer site and sex.

  1993 ASR 2014 ASR 2035 ASR ASR % change 2014–2035 ASR AAPC 2015–2035 1993 Cases 2014 Cases 2035 Cases Cases % change 2014–2035 Cases AAPC 2015–2035
Males
Cancer site                    
 Anus 1.73 1.84 2.18 18.24 0.62 284 434 684.68 57.76 2.01
 Bladder 61.52 33.92 21.07 −37.88 −2.33 9705 7301 7531.11 3.15 0.16
 Bone 0.91 1.01 0.69 −31.35 −1.91 189 256 216.77 −15.33 −0.84
 Bowel 105.04 102.38 86.92 −15.10 −0.86 16 929 22 827 29 356.10 28.60 1.13
 Brain 17.41 21.08 22.11 4.87 0.14 3364 5036 6884.30 36.70 1.40
 Hodgkin lymphoma 3.50 4.48 4.87 8.86 0.52 810 1148 1479.68 28.89 1.27
 Kidney 19.12 34.18 43.88 28.38 1.08 3275 7778 14 258.84 83.32 2.75
 Larynx 10.91 8.36 6.52 −22.04 −1.19 1902 1920 2099.54 9.35 0.41
 Leukaemia 21.22 24.14 25.59 6.00 0.13 3461 5425 8714.08 60.63 2.11
 Liver 6.36 16.21 23.23 43.27 1.41 1043 3636 7769.55 113.68 3.28
 Lung 167.74 112.25 97.06 −13.54 −0.70 27 112 24 767 32 874.81 32.74 1.34
 Malignant melanoma 11.99 33.28 35.42 6.46 0.26 2248 7715 11 897.43 54.21 2.03
 Mesothelioma 6.05 10.54 4.75 −54.98 −4.07 1051 2289 1753.23 −23.41 −1.42
 Myeloma 10.93 13.76 15.52 12.76 0.39 1729 3072 5228.66 70.20 2.35
 Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma 23.02 32.45 31.56 −2.75 −0.23 4068 7440 10 489.40 40.99 1.54
 Oesophagus 23.95 26.67 25.07 −6.00 −0.31 3911 6019 8365.78 38.99 1.57
 Oral 13.27 21.38 28.40 32.84 1.10 2323 5124 8675.81 69.32 2.22
 Pancreas 20.74 21.71 23.18 6.75 0.18 3321 4833 7874.14 62.92 2.19
 Prostate 136.51 208.01 232.54 11.79 0.48 20 065 46 689 77 348.83 65.67 2.34
 Stomach 42.75 19.80 15.27 −22.90 −1.24 6739 4353 5220.27 19.92 0.89
 Testis 6.56 8.88 9.97 12.30 0.55 1639 2406 2920.80 21.40 0.91
 Thyroid 1.59 3.91 6.93 77.43 2.49 310 964 2089.44 116.75 3.42
 Other 70.47 47.87 49.78 3.98 0.22 11 204 10 659 16 527.69 55.06 2.11
 All cancer sites 783.29 808.13 812.52 0.54 −0.03 126 682 182 091 270 260.90 48.42 1.82
Females
Cancer site                    
 Anus 1.61 3.27 5.11 56.34 1.92 360 873 1748.81 100.32 3.09
 Bladder 16.93 9.94 6.87 −30.95 −1.87 3881 2756 2855.27 3.60 0.11
 Bone 0.69 0.86 1.06 24.16 0.85 169 235 351.39 49.53 1.77
 Bowel 68.77 67.67 63.22 −6.58 −0.34 15 848 18 401 24 289.91 32.00 1.32
 Brain 14.10 20.44 21.97 7.50 0.30 3233 5489 7397.15 34.76 1.35
 Breast 160.46 204.93 209.51 2.24 0.14 35 585 54 833 71 022.04 29.52 1.26
 Cervix 16.28 11.81 16.85 42.68 1.65 3805 3223 4792.35 48.69 1.86
 Hodgkin lymphoma 2.17 3.21 3.17 −1.05 0.14 553 881 993.46 12.77 0.77
 Kidney 8.51 17.27 20.42 18.21 0.70 1927 4634 7473.54 61.28 2.17
 Larynx 2.12 1.48 1.45 −2.14 −0.43 469 389 498.93 28.26 0.81
 Leukaemia 11.83 13.15 13.01 −1.10 −0.16 2753 3566 5043.55 41.43 1.52
 Liver 3.02 6.87 8.32 21.02 0.52 692 1884 3363.86 78.55 2.38
 Lung 62.61 80.94 80.46 −0.59 −0.12 14 177 21 633 29 957.38 38.48 1.44
 Malignant melanoma 14.54 28.64 30.40 6.14 0.29 3374 7698 10 277.73 33.51 1.37
 Mesothelioma 0.80 1.60 0.86 −45.98 −3.42 178 428 362.64 −15.27 −1.17
 Myeloma 7.19 9.00 9.61 6.76 0.25 1644 2428 3659.35 50.71 1.90
 Non-Hodgkin lymphoma 16.01 22.67 21.92 −3.32 −0.36 3651 6069 8131.89 33.99 1.21
 Oesophagus 11.75 10.62 10.77 1.44 0.02 2730 2900 4291.51 47.98 1.81
 Oral 5.52 9.61 12.71 32.24 1.15 1243 2556 4384.60 71.54 2.37
 Ovary 27.22 27.67 31.89 15.23 0.61 6064 7367 10 500.59 42.54 1.58
 Pancreas 15.47 17.60 18.38 4.47 0.12 3573 4783 7282.64 52.26 1.91
 Stomach 17.66 8.48 7.72 −8.92 −0.47 4136 2329 3061.72 31.46 1.30
 Thyroid 3.42 9.01 15.68 74.07 2.34 815 2424 4749.60 95.94 2.88
 Uterus 21.84 35.51 33.09 −6.84 −0.39 4810 9323 11 576.13 24.17 0.95
 Other 53.26 42.00 40.89 −2.62 −0.13 12 326 11 540 15 623.74 35.39 1.45
 All cancer sites 563.75 664.27 685.37 3.18 0.11 127 996 178 642 243 689.80 36.41 1.43