Table 2. Mortality age standardised rates (ASRs) per 100 000 15–90+ year olds, deaths, total percentage changes, and average annual percentage changes (AAPC) for 1993, 2014 and 2035 by cancer site and sex.
1993 ASR | 2014 ASR | 2035 ASR | ASR Percentage Change 2014–2035 | ASR AAPC 2015–2035 | 1993 deaths | 2014 deaths | 2035 deaths | Deaths Percentage Change 2014–2035 | Deaths AAPC 2015–2035 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Males | ||||||||||
Cancer site | ||||||||||
Anus | 0.62 | 0.66 | 0.91 | 37.90 | 1.81 | 94 | 143 | 302.52 | 111.55 | 3.67 |
Bladder | 25.66 | 17.98 | 13.79 | −23.31 | −1.19 | 3593 | 3614 | 5189.82 | 43.60 | 1.78 |
Bone | 0.63 | 0.80 | 0.48 | −40.29 | −1.49 | 128 | 187 | 154.71 | −17.27 | −0.07 |
Bowel | 60.00 | 40.41 | 28.86 | −28.58 | −1.59 | 9155 | 8566 | 10270.28 | 19.90 | 0.87 |
Brain | 11.55 | 12.22 | 11.97 | −2.10 | −0.19 | 2125 | 2821 | 3887.01 | 37.79 | 1.43 |
Hodgkin Lymphoma | 1.18 | 0.91 | 0.75 | −18.09 | −0.39 | 235 | 211 | 250.45 | 18.70 | 1.35 |
Kidney | 10.65 | 12.75 | 11.40 | −10.59 | −0.47 | 1752 | 2771 | 3957.66 | 42.82 | 1.74 |
Larynx | 4.66 | 3.10 | 2.80 | −9.77 | −0.39 | 761 | 677 | 954.03 | 40.92 | 1.67 |
Leukaemia | 12.81 | 12.41 | 9.64 | −22.35 | −1.32 | 2041 | 2630 | 3551.68 | 35.04 | 1.32 |
Liver | 6.68 | 13.85 | 21.75 | 57.01 | 1.99 | 1106 | 3052 | 7449.34 | 144.08 | 4.03 |
Lung | 155.34 | 89.69 | 64.97 | −27.56 | −1.45 | 24 910 | 19 563 | 22226.74 | 13.62 | 0.69 |
Malignant Melanoma | 4.15 | 6.44 | 5.57 | −13.38 | −0.57 | 730 | 1431 | 1974.49 | 37.98 | 1.66 |
Mesothelioma | 5.94 | 9.93 | 5.10 | −48.66 | −3.54 | 1030.20 | 2153.58 | 1875.83 | −12.90 | −0.90 |
Myeloma | 7.85 | 7.50 | 6.33 | −15.64 | −0.69 | 1225 | 1596 | 2264.73 | 41.90 | 1.79 |
Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma | 13.37 | 12.10 | 9.49 | −21.58 | −1.20 | 2245 | 2603 | 3434.57 | 31.95 | 1.27 |
Oesophagus | 23.91 | 23.53 | 19.35 | −17.79 | −0.96 | 3876 | 5213 | 6570.96 | 26.05 | 1.09 |
Oral | 6.19 | 6.97 | 9.51 | 36.54 | 1.42 | 1035 | 1613 | 3074.45 | 90.60 | 2.97 |
Pancreas | 20.31 | 20.07 | 20.00 | −0.36 | −0.06 | 3208 | 4426 | 6871.66 | 55.26 | 2.06 |
Prostate | 71.61 | 57.22 | 47.86 | −16.36 | −0.74 | 9519 | 11 287 | 18336.23 | 62.45 | 2.38 |
Stomach | 33.48 | 13.69 | 9.31 | −32.00 | −1.80 | 5148 | 2919 | 3294.87 | 12.88 | 0.63 |
Testis | 0.59 | 0.24 | 0.15 | −34.87 | −2.24 | 118 | 60 | 51.13 | −14.79 | −0.79 |
Thyroid | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.68 | −4.63 | −0.27 | 120 | 154 | 234.55 | 52.30 | 1.91 |
Other | 64.78 | 40.75 | 29.22 | −28.30 | −1.68 | 10 068 | 8641 | 10407.62 | 20.44 | 0.81 |
All cancers | 542.69 | 403.92 | 329.86 | −18.33 | −0.94 | 84222.20 | 86331.58 | 116585.30 | 35.04 | 1.45 |
Females | ||||||||||
Cancer site | ||||||||||
Anus | 0.62 | 0.78 | 1.26 | 61.84 | 2.28 | 139 | 215 | 474.84 | 120.86 | 3.75 |
Bladder | 7.47 | 6.12 | 5.78 | −5.56 | −0.29 | 1763 | 1755 | 2581.42 | 47.09 | 1.87 |
Bone | 0.39 | 0.55 | 0.54 | −2.67 | 0.79 | 96 | 152 | 197.29 | 29.80 | 2.15 |
Bowel | 38.91 | 25.97 | 21.08 | −18.83 | −0.99 | 9019 | 7337 | 8976.63 | 22.35 | 1.04 |
Brain | 8.08 | 8.47 | 8.26 | −2.40 | −0.21 | 1830 | 2295 | 3072.60 | 33.88 | 1.31 |
Breast | 64.89 | 41.15 | 30.51 | −25.86 | −1.42 | 14 612 | 11 360 | 11875.54 | 4.54 | 0.26 |
Cervix | 7.37 | 3.31 | 3.08 | −6.90 | −0.37 | 1681 | 890 | 1029.95 | 15.72 | 0.66 |
Hodgkin Lymphoma | 0.70 | 0.52 | 0.31 | −39.82 | −2.21 | 170 | 143 | 117.70 | −17.69 | −0.61 |
Kidney | 5.00 | 5.88 | 4.29 | −27.07 | −1.56 | 1145 | 1637 | 1781.37 | 8.82 | 0.44 |
Larynx | 0.93 | 0.61 | 0.74 | 21.97 | 0.77 | 211 | 162 | 274.68 | 69.56 | 2.25 |
Leukaemia | 7.66 | 6.82 | 5.78 | −15.31 | −1.02 | 1785 | 1907 | 2539.11 | 33.15 | 1.16 |
Liver | 3.64 | 7.38 | 11.33 | 53.40 | 1.79 | 838 | 2035 | 4730.14 | 132.44 | 3.76 |
Lung | 55.99 | 60.52 | 51.81 | −14.38 | −0.70 | 12 737 | 16 331 | 19604.32 | 20.04 | 0.92 |
Malignant Melanoma | 3.51 | 3.71 | 3.05 | −17.98 | −0.88 | 802 | 1027 | 1235.89 | 20.34 | 1.01 |
Mesothelioma | 0.67 | 1.59 | 1.01 | −36.47 | −2.41 | 149.62 | 423.87 | 422.05 | −0.43 | −0.21 |
Myeloma | 5.45 | 4.79 | 3.72 | −22.24 | −1.18 | 1259 | 1332 | 1570.42 | 17.90 | 0.88 |
Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma | 8.61 | 7.86 | 6.25 | −20.49 | −1.20 | 1998 | 2183 | 2694.18 | 23.42 | 0.96 |
Oesophagus | 11.06 | 9.25 | 7.64 | −17.44 | −0.78 | 2587 | 2577 | 3176.99 | 23.28 | 1.18 |
Oral | 2.37 | 2.82 | 4.00 | 41.82 | 1.53 | 535 | 773 | 1517.44 | 96.31 | 3.09 |
Ovary | 19.23 | 15.36 | 9.62 | −37.42 | −2.28 | 4288 | 4127 | 3743.83 | −9.28 | −0.48 |
Pancreas | 14.84 | 16.02 | 15.12 | −5.63 | −0.31 | 3428 | 4391 | 6132.70 | 39.67 | 1.58 |
Stomach | 14.17 | 5.92 | 4.53 | −23.62 | −1.32 | 3342 | 1657 | 1897.55 | 14.52 | 0.67 |
Thyroid | 1.06 | 0.79 | 0.93 | 17.21 | 0.52 | 248 | 222 | 377.76 | 70.16 | 2.35 |
Uterus | 6.35 | 7.98 | 9.47 | 18.66 | 0.73 | 1453 | 2166 | 3829.07 | 76.78 | 2.61 |
Other | 44.69 | 35.61 | 28.93 | −18.76 | −1.09 | 10 374 | 9992 | 12107.30 | 21.17 | 0.87 |
All cancers | 333.68 | 279.78 | 239.02 | −14.57 | −0.77 | 76489.62 | 77089.87 | 95960.78 | 24.48 | 1.06 |