Table 2.
Models development process
| Model | Stocks | Descriptions |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (SIR Model) | Susceptible – Infected - Recovered | Simple SIR model with constant contact rate over the time |
| 2 | Added Stock: Death | Capturing the death rate and considering the reduction of contact rate over the time |
| 3 | Added Stock: Quarantined | Investigating the influence of quarantining the infected on reducing the death rate |
| 4 | Added Stock: Perception of Death | Capturing the increase of situational awareness which leads to more safe burials |
| 5 | Added Stocks: Asymptomatic and Symptomatic | Capturing the incubation time to separate the symptomatic individuals from asymptomatics, and more precisely define the infection rate |
| 6 (Final Model) | Added Stock: Public Attention | Studying the influence of public attention on contact rate by incorporating twitter data trends |