Table 3. Relative Hazard of Event by Enrollment CD4 Count*, Race/Ethnicity**, and Age†.
CD4 <200 cells/mm3 | CD4 200-349 cells/mm3 | CD4 350-499 cells/mm3 | CD4 ≥500 cells/mm3 | Test of Category Effects†† | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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ART Initiation | |||||||||
Enrollment Year | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | P value |
2003-04 | Ref | 0.59 (0.53 - 0.66) | <0.001 | 0.33 (0.29 - 0.37) | <0.001 | 0.25 (0.22 - 0.29) | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
2005-06 | 1.07 (0.98 - 1.17) | 0.146 | 0.68 (0.61 - 0.76) | <0.001 | 0.33 (0.30 - 0.38) | <0.001 | 0.22 (0.19 - 0.25) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
2007-08 | 1.15 (1.05 - 1.25) | 0.002 | 0.82 (0.74 - 0.90) | <0.001 | 0.43 (0.38 - 0.48) | <0.001 | 0.30 (0.27 - 0.34) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
2009-10 | 1.40 (1.28 - 1.53) | <0.001 | 1.02 (0.92 - 1.13) | 0.743 | 0.63 (0.57 - 0.70) | <0.001 | 0.35 (0.32 - 0.40) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
2011-12 | 1.63 (1.48 - 1.79) | <0.001 | 1.24 (1.12 - 1.38) | <0.001 | 0.82 (0.73 - 0.92) | 0.001 | 0.51 (0.46 - 0.57) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Test of year effects†† | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |||||
ART initiation linear trend‡ | 1.06 (1.05 - 1.07) | <0.001 | 1.10 (1.08 - 1.12) | <0.001 | 1.13 (1.12 - 1.15) | <0.001 | 1.11 (1.09 - 1.12) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
HIV Suppression | |||||||||
Enrollment Year | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | P value |
2003-04 | Ref | 0.71 (0.62 - 0.81) | <0.001 | 0.52 (0.46 - 0.60) | <0.001 | 0.38 (0.33 - 0.44) | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
2005-06 | 1.01 (0.90 - 1.12) | 0.927 | 0.88 (0.77 - 1.00) | 0.049 | 0.48 (0.42 - 0.56) | <0.001 | 0.34 (0.30 - 0.40) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
2007-08 | 1.17 (1.05 - 1.30) | 0.005 | 1.04 (0.92 - 1.17) | 0.537 | 0.63 (0.55 - 0.72) | <0.001 | 0.48 (0.42 - 0.55) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
2009-10 | 1.35 (1.21 - 1.51) | <0.001 | 1.25 (1.10 - 1.41) | <0.001 | 0.91 (0.81 - 1.04) | 0.168 | 0.59 (0.52 - 0.67) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
2011-12 | 1.37 (1.22 - 1.54) | <0.001 | 1.27 (1.12 - 1.44) | <0.001 | 1.17 (1.03 - 1.33) | 0.020 | 0.79 (0.70 - 0.89) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Test of year effects†† | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |||||
HIV suppression linear trend‡ | 1.05 (1.03 - 1.06) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.06 - 1.09) | <0.001 | 1.12 (1.10 - 1.14) | <0.001 | 1.11 (1.09 - 1.13) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Black | White | Hispanic | Test of Category Effects†† | ||||||
|
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ART Initiation | |||||||||
Enrollment Year | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | P value | ||
2003-04 | Ref | 1.01 (0.91 - 1.13) | 0.801 | 1.04 (0.93 - 1.16) | 0.490 | 0.834 | |||
2005-06 | 1.04 (0.95 - 1.13) | 0.414 | 0.96 (0.86 - 1.07) | 0.446 | 1.28 (1.14 - 1.42) | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
2007-08 | 1.18 (1.08 - 1.28) | <0.001 | 1.23 (1.11 - 1.36) | <0.001 | 1.45 (1.31 - 1.60) | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
2009-10 | 1.46 (1.35 - 1.59) | <0.001 | 1.74 (1.56 - 1.93) | <0.001 | 1.66 (1.50 - 1.85) | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
2011-12 | 1.86 (1.70 - 2.03) | <0.001 | 2.16 (1.95 - 2.40) | <0.001 | 2.05 (1.84 - 2.28) | <0.001 | 0.007 | ||
Test of year effects†† | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||||||
ART initiation linear trend‡ | 1.08 (1.07 - 1.09) | <0.001 | 1.11 (1.09 - 1.13) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.07 - 1.10) | <0.001 | 0.002 | ||
HIV Suppression | |||||||||
Enrollment Year | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | P value | ||
2003-04 | Ref | 1.00 (0.88 - 1.13) | 0.956 | 1.11 (0.97 - 1.26) | 0.128 | 0.417 | |||
2005-06 | 1.02 (0.92 - 1.14) | 0.663 | 0.95 (0.84 - 1.08) | 0.423 | 1.28 (1.12 - 1.46) | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
2007-08 | 1.19 (1.07 - 1.31) | 0.001 | 1.26 (1.12 - 1.42) | <0.001 | 1.59 (1.41 - 1.79) | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
2009-10 | 1.41 (1.28 - 1.56) | <0.001 | 1.60 (1.41 - 1.81) | <0.001 | 1.92 (1.70 - 2.18) | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
2011-12 | 1.63 (1.47 - 1.81) | <0.001 | 1.76 (1.55 - 2.00) | <0.001 | 2.06 (1.82 - 2.33) | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
Test of year effects†† | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||||||
HIV suppression linear trend‡ | 1.07 (1.06 - 1.08) | <0.001 | 1.09 (1.07 - 1.10) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.07 - 1.10) | <0.001 | 0.001 | ||
Age ≤30 | Age 31-40 | Age 41-50 | Age >50 | Test of Category Effects†† | |||||
| |||||||||
ART Initiation | |||||||||
Enrollment Year | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | P value |
2003-04 | Ref | 1.24 (1.11 - 1.40) | <0.001 | 1.28 (1.13 - 1.45) | <0.001 | 1.39 (1.19 - 1.62) | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
2005-06 | 1.07 (0.95 - 1.22) | 0.273 | 1.31 (1.16 - 1.48) | <0.001 | 1.32 (1.17 - 1.49) | <0.001 | 1.42 (1.21 - 1.67) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
2007-08 | 1.21 (1.07 - 1.36) | 0.002 | 1.58 (1.40 - 1.77) | <0.001 | 1.59 (1.41 - 1.79) | <0.001 | 1.59 (1.38 - 1.83) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
2009-10 | 1.62 (1.44 - 1.82) | <0.001 | 1.98 (1.76 - 2.23) | <0.001 | 1.94 (1.72 - 2.19) | <0.001 | 1.99 (1.73 - 2.30) | <0.001 | 0.003 |
2011-12 | 2.13 (1.89 - 2.40) | <0.001 | 2.32 (2.05 - 2.64) | <0.001 | 2.43 (2.15 - 2.75) | <0.001 | 2.57 (2.22 - 2.96) | <0.001 | 0.003 |
Test of year effects†† | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |||||
ART initiation linear trend‡ | 1.11 (1.09 - 1.12) | <0.001 | 1.09 (1.07 - 1.10) | <0.001 | 1.09 (1.07 - 1.10) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.06 - 1.10) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
HIV Suppression | |||||||||
Enrollment Year | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | SHR (95% CI) | P value | P value |
2003-04 | Ref | 1.13 (0.98 - 1.30) | 0.095 | 1.22 (1.05 - 1.41) | 0.010 | 1.77 (1.48 - 2.12) | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
2005-06 | 0.95 (0.81 - 1.11) | 0.493 | 1.21 (1.05 - 1.39) | 0.010 | 1.34 (1.16 - 1.54) | <0.001 | 1.65 (1.37 - 1.99) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
2007-08 | 1.28 (1.11 - 1.48) | 0.001 | 1.57 (1.36 - 1.81) | <0.001 | 1.63 (1.42 - 1.88) | <0.001 | 1.84 (1.56 - 2.17) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
2009-10 | 1.71 (1.48 - 1.97) | <0.001 | 2.04 (1.77 - 2.36) | <0.001 | 1.89 (1.64 - 2.18) | <0.001 | 2.25 (1.90 - 2.67) | <0.001 | 0.002 |
2011-12 | 2.15 (1.87 - 2.48) | <0.001 | 2.15 (1.86 - 2.49) | <0.001 | 2.26 (1.95 - 2.62) | <0.001 | 2.56 (2.17 - 3.03) | <0.001 | 0.014 |
Test of year effects†† | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |||||
HIV suppression linear trend‡ | 1.10 (1.08 - 1.12) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.07 - 1.10) | <0.001 | 1.07 (1.05 - 1.09) | <0.001 | 1.05 (1.02 - 1.07) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Statistically significant results (at a <0.05 level) are displayed in bold; adjusted for race/ethnicity, age, gender, HIV risk, and clinic site
Adjusted for CD4 count, age, gender, HIV risk, and clinic site
Adjusted for CD4 count, race/ethnicity, gender, HIV risk, and clinic site
Linear contrasts used to perform a joint test (χ2) of difference in effects within a given year or category
Enrollment year modeled as a continuous variable to determine a linear trend (i.e. slope) for time to ART initiation and virologic suppression