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. 2016 Nov 22;16:160. doi: 10.1186/s12874-016-0265-5

Table 3.

Comparison of performance indices for Artificial Neural Network models when using new data sets for predicting in hospital mortality rate in patients with T2DM after major LEA in Spain

Indices Description Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4
Accuracy rate Ratio of instances correctly classified 0.807 0.794 0.830 0.861
Error rate Ratio of instances misclassified 0.192 0.205 0.169 0.138
Sensitivity Portion of actual positive which are predicted positive 0.775 0.801 0.744 0.763
Specificity Portion of actual negative predicted negative 0.838 0.786 0.912 0.960
Precision Portion of predicted positive which are actual positive 0.821 0.787 0.888 0.951
Positive likelihood Likelihood that a predicted positive is an actual positive 4.794 3.756 8.476 19.23
Negative likelihood Likelihood that a predicted negative is an actual negative 3.733 3.962 3.569 4.06
F1 score Harmonic mean of precision and sensitivity 0.797 0.794 0.810 0.847
False positive rate Portion of actual negative which are predicted positive 0.161 0.213 0.087 0.039
False discovery rate Portion of predicted positive which are actual negative 0.178 0.212 0.111 0.048
False negative rate Portion of actual positive which are predicted negative 0.224 0.198 0.255 0.236
Negative predictive value Portion of predicted negative which are actual negative 0.795 0.800 0.790 0.800
Matthews correlation Correlation between the targets and the outputs. It takes a value between -1 and +1 0.615 0.588 0.668 0.737
Informedness Probability that the prediction method will make a correct decision as opposed to guessing 0.613 0.588 0.656 0.723
Markedness Probability of predicting the classifier labels from the real classes. 0.659 0.574 0.801 0.911

Model 1: all discharge diagnosis included in the database. Model 2: all discharge diagnosis included in the database, except infectious diseases (ICD-9-CM codes 001 to 139). Model 3: comorbidities included in the Charlson Comorbidities Index. Model 4: comorbidities included in the Elixhauser Comorbidities Index