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. 2016 Sep 29;5(10):e004211. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.116.004211

Table 7.

Independent Mortality Predictors for Entire Surgical Referral Cohort by Sexb

Variable Men Women
Risk Ratio (95% CI) P Value Risk Ratio (95% CI) P Value
Age ≥60 y 2.54 (1.85‐3.56) <0.0001 2.99 (1.73‐5.58) <0.0001
Charlson indexa 1.17 (1.11‐1.22) <0.0001 1.12 (1.01‐1.22) 0.02
EF ≥50% 0.68 (0.52‐0.89) 0.006
AR 4+ 0.46 (0.22‐0.84) 0.01 4.45 (1.004‐13.99) 0.04
NYHA 3 to 4 1.64 (1.28‐2.11) <0.0001

AR indicates aortic regurgitation; EF, left ventricular ejection fraction; NYHA, New York Heart Association class.

a

Per unit change. Variables included in model: age ≥60 years, Charlson comorbidity index, BMI ≥30, ejection fraction ≥50%, severe AS, AR 4+, NYHA class 3 to 4, aortic diameter, baseline IE and known aortic coarctation.

b

When ESD/BSA was entered into the multivariate analysis, AR4+ lost statistical significance (P=0.71), and ESD/BSA became an independent predictor (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.1‐1.39; P=0.0004 per unit change) for women only. Independent predictors remained unchanged for men.