Table 2.
T2DM prevalence (%) projections to 2020 based on various body mass index (BMI) scenarios, 2011–2020
| T2DM prevalence (%) and 95% CI | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| i-Taukei | Indian | Fiji | |||
| Men | Women | Men | Women | ||
| 2011 STEPS prevalencea | 11.13 (10.34–11.92) |
13.61 (12.73–14.48) |
17.90 (16.41–19.39) |
19.93 (18.61–21.26) |
15.61 (15.06–16.16) |
| Projected to 2020 from period trend onlyb | 13.27 (13.22–13.33) |
16.73 (16.66–16.81) |
23.37 (23.09–23.65) |
24.14 (23.99–24.29) |
19.28 (19.19–19.37) |
| Projected to 2020 from period and BMI trendsc | 15.35 (12.12–18.58) |
19.90 (16.83–22.98) |
21.14 (16.88–25.40) |
23.09 (19.37–26.81) |
20.56 (18.78–22.35) |
| Projected: no weight change 2011-20c | 15.18 (11.97–18.40) |
18.16 (15.20–21.13) |
20.67 (16.44–24.89) |
21.73 (18.09–25.38) |
18.82 (17.10–20.55) |
| Projected from mean weight change to 2020 | |||||
| Weight loss 2011–2020c | |||||
| −1 kg | 14.67 (11.50–17.84) |
17.59 (14.66–20.52) |
20.24 (16.05–24.43) |
21.08 (17.47–24.68) |
17.94 (16.25–19.63) |
| −2 kg | 14.24 (11.11–17.37) |
17.01 (14.11–19.90) |
19.74 (15.59–23.89) |
20.45 (16.89–24.02) |
17.08 (15.42–18.74) |
| −3 kg | 13.82 (10.73–16.92) |
16.44 (13.59–19.30) |
19.25 (15.13–23.36) |
19.85 (16.32–23.37) |
16.25 (14.63) |
| −4 kg | 13.42 (10.73–16.92) |
15.90 (13.09–18.72) |
18.77 (14.70–22.84) |
19.26 (15.77–22.74) |
15.47 (13.87–17.07) |
| Weight gain 2011–2020c | |||||
| +1 kg | 15.57 (12.32–18.82) |
18.81 (15.80–21.82) |
21.29 (17.02–25.56) |
22.38 (20.85–23.92) |
19.80 (18.04–21.56) |
| +2 kg | 16.04 (12.75–19.33) |
19.46 (16.41–22.51) |
21.83 (17.52–26.14) |
23.07 (19.35–26.79) |
20.80 (19.01–22.60) |
| +3 kg | 16.52 (13.20–19.85) |
20.12 (17.04–23.21) |
22.38 (18.04–26.73) |
23.77 (20.01–27.53) |
21.86 (20.03–23.68) |
| +4 kg | 17.02 (13.66–20.39) |
20.81 (17.69–23.94) |
22.95 (18.57–27.34) |
24.50 (20.70–28.30) |
22.96 (21.11–24.82) |