Table 5.
Incremental costs per quality-adjusted life year gained* by breast density, risk level, screening interval, and age for 3 models.
Density | RR | Screening Frequency | Age 50–74 | Age 65–74 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model E | Model W | Model GE | Model E | Model W | Model GE | |||
Fatty | 1.0 | Triennial | 68,777 | 117,753 | 43,098 | 100,058 | 131,294 | 27,639 |
Biennial | 122,007 | 123,132 | 232,710 | 109,587 | 212,665 | 104,235 | ||
Annual | 389,195 | 586,116 | Dom | 435,881 | 516,979 | >1,000,000 | ||
|
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1.3 | Triennial | 50,231 | 83,220 | 27,022 | 70,716 | 92,938 | 15,785 | |
Biennial | 83,577 | 86,426 | 133,826 | 75,433 | 135,221 | 67,152 | ||
Annual | 231,495 | 309,654 | >1,000,000 | 258,193 | 286,643 | 799,501 | ||
|
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2.0 | Triennial | 30,910 | W Dom | 10,364 | 42,229 | 58,276 | 3,004 | |
Biennial | 50,526 | 50,084† | 65,297 | 46,300 | 70,911 | 32,912 | ||
Annual | 122,540 | 148,375 | 392,745 | 141,183 | 146,961 | 263,493 | ||
|
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4.0 | Triennial | 14,969 | 22,663 | † | 19,130 | W Dom | † | |
Biennial | 22,802 | 23,295 | 19,932 | 21,242 | 30,054 | 5,331 | ||
Annual | 54,906 | 56,451 | 95,362 | 69,089 | 62,251 | 76,840 | ||
| ||||||||
Scattered | 1.0 | Triennial | 69,714 | 72,156 | 18,509 | W Dom | 55,051 | 14,112 |
Biennial | 111,605 | 75,673 | 104,454 | 101,612 | Dom | 61,723 | ||
Annual | 317,991 | 288,199 | Dom | 382,578 | 612,349 | >1,000,000 | ||
|
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1.3 | Triennial | 50,010 | 51,493 | 9,683 | W Dom | 60,785 | 5,449 | |
Biennial | 75,416 | 53,967 | 63,057 | 72,488 | 73,479 | 39,636 | ||
Annual | 186,322 | 171,038 | 488,376 | 224,322 | 201,088 | 450,818 | ||
|
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2.0 | Triennial | 31,053 | 29,757 | 641 | W Dom | 38,299 | † | |
Biennial | 43,721 | 31,198 | 28,182 | 42,160 | 42,347 | 15,956 | ||
Annual | 96,584 | 85,607 | 144,723 | 120,188 | 104,553 | 159,293 | ||
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4.0 | Triennial | 15,414 | 12,179 | † | W Dom | 17,507 | Dom | |
Biennial | 19,733 | 13,116 | 5,116 | 20,076 | 17,977 | ‡ | ||
Annual | 44,019 | 32,452 | 39,105 | 61,818 | 39,362 | 42,660 | ||
| ||||||||
Het. dense | 1.0 | Triennial | 57,924 | W Dom | 8,016 | W Dom | 75,197 | 611 |
Biennial | 85,241 | 60,333† | 50,421 | 85,145 | 96,863 | 23,104 | ||
Annual | 222,789 | 185,805 | 268,798 | 279,586 | 290,534 | 179,689 | ||
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1.3 | Triennial | 42,324 | 41,815 | 2,179 | 60,235 | 54,355 | † | |
Biennial | 61,309 | 42,551 | 31,442 | 61,760 | 60,225 | 11,809 | ||
Annual | 137,983 | 116,700 | 134,915 | 169,196 | 174,243 | 97,850 | ||
|
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2.0 | Triennial | 26,726 | 23,375 | † | W Dom | 31,637 | † | |
Biennial | 35,235 | 26,574 | 12,543 | 36,446 | 36,762 | 478 | ||
Annual | 75,747 | 57,557 | 56,331 | 99,035 | 85,503 | 44,784 | ||
|
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4.0 | Triennial | 13,432 | 8,534 | Dom | W Dom | 13,298 | Dom | |
Biennial | 16,745 | 9,256 | ‡ | 18,673 | 13,814 | ‡ | ||
Annual | 36,845 | 22,339 | 14,716 | 57,264 | 32,355 | 8,752 | ||
| ||||||||
Dense | 1.0 | Triennial | 50,563 | 52,953 | 3,017 | W Dom | 63,918 | † |
Biennial | 68,216 | 55,420 | 27,942 | 75,917 | 77,061 | 8,555 | ||
Annual | 148,014 | 129,536 | 89,425 | 187,329 | 203,860 | 60,177 | ||
|
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1.3 | Triennial | 37,937 | 36,486 | † | W Dom | 45,929 | † | |
Biennial | 49,172 | 40,051 | 16,293 | 55,033 | 52,754 | 2,547 | ||
Annual | 101,399 | 87,230 | 56,264 | 130,774 | 130,339 | 36,740 | ||
|
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2.0 | Triennial | 24,715 | 20,626 | † | W Dom | 26,367 | Dom | |
Biennial | 30,291 | 23,683 | 4,631 | 35,097 | 32,766 | ‡ | ||
Annual | 60,577 | 47,687 | 25,753 | 82,794 | 71,187 | 15,070 | ||
|
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4.0 | Triennial | 13,169 | 7,130 | Dom | W Dom | 10,180 | Dom | |
Biennial | 14,856 | 7,823 | ‡ | 19,207 | 11,669 | Dom | ||
Annual | 31,433 | 18,224 | 4,407 | 52,645 | 26,834 | § |
Note: Incremental ratios bold if values are <$100,000, a common threshold for least costly and most effective strategies (dominant). Unless otherwise indicated, triennial strategies are compared to no screening. Breast density categories shown as: fatty, almost entirely fat; scattered, scattered fibroglandular density; het. dense, heterogeneously dense; and dense, extremely dense.
Abbreviations: RR, relative risk; Dom, more expensive and less effective (strongly dominated); W Dom, more expensive and more effective but less efficient (weakly dominated).
Costs and quality-adjusted life years discounted at 3% per year. Quality-adjusted life years include disutility from participation in screening mammography.
Strategy with no screening is strongly dominated. Triennial is the least costly strategy for comparison.
Strategy with biennial screening is the least costly.
Strategy with annual screening is the least costly