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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Stroke. 2016 Nov 15;47(12):2931–2937. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.116.015436

Table 4.

Percentages of adaptive trial simulations that demonstrated futility in the overall cohort and proceed to subsequent subgroup selection

Analysis stage at
subgroup selection
Total % of simulations that
result in subgroup selection by
stage
Subgroup selected
C1 C1–2 C1–3 C1–4 C1–5
Cat #1 1st interim 34.6% 20.5% 1.1% 1.2% 4.1% 7.8%
2nd interim 16.9% 8.2% 0.2% 0.3% 2.1% 6.1%
Final 23.9% 8.6% 0.1% 0.3% 2.5% 12.5%
Total 75.4% 37.3% 1.4% 1.8% 8.7% 26.3%
Cat #2 1st interim 29.4% 1.6% 24.6% 1.0% 0.0% 2.2%
2nd interim 15.1% 0.1% 13.3% 0.4% 0.0% 1.3%
Final 22.5% 0.0% 19.8% 0.4% 0.0% 2.2%
Total 67.0% 1.8% 57.8% 1.8% 0.0% 5.7%

Cat #1 indicates categorization scheme #1 in which patients are categorized based on time and location of the arterial occlusion. Cat #2 indicates categorization scheme #2 in which patients are categorized only based on time. C1-y indicates a subgroup that consists of consecutive patient categories. See figure 1 for the exact criteria that define each patient category in scheme #1 and #2.