Table 1. Portion of current global production and harvested area in vulnerable or no-analogue zones for at least four out of five GCM climates.
|
2041–2059 |
2081–2099 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vulnerable* | No analogue | Vulnerable* | No analogue | |
| Current production % ( × 106 t) | ||||
| Maize | 39.0 (209) | 3.5 (18) | 67.7 (363) | 6.3 (34) |
| Wheat | 29.8 (134) | 3.3 (15) | 38.5 (174) | 17.1 (77) |
| Rice | 13.4 (58) | 23.7 (103) | 17.8 (77) | 47.4 (206) |
| Current harvested area % ( × 106 ha) | ||||
| Maize | 35.2 (44) | 8.0 (10) | 54.1 (67) | 17.2 (21) |
| Wheat | 22.6 (44) | 5.4 (10) | 27.7 (54) | 17.6 (34) |
| Rice | 11.4 (13) | 28.9 (34) | 11.7 (14) | 60.5 (71) |
*Reduction in attainable yield >10%.