Table 2. Value of Prognostic Scores in the Prediction of Severe Acute Pancreatitis.
| Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | AUC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranson | 91.2 | 74.4 | 57.4 | 95.7 | 0.879 (0.818-0.940) |
| Glasgow | 73.5 | 71.1 | 49.0 | 87.7 | 0.805 (0.724-0.886) |
| Balthazar | 26.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 68.6 | 0.715 (0.528-0.902) |
| APACHE II (0 h) | 83.3 | 68.9 | 51.7 | 91.2 | 0.861 (0.785-0.938) |
| APACHE II (48 h) | 79.4 | 83.1 | 64.3 | 91.4 | 0.892 (0.832-0.953) |
| CRP (48 h) | 44.4 | 70.7 | 41.4 | 73.2 | 0.683 (0.564-0.802) |
PPV: Positive predictive value; NPV: negative predictive value; AUC: Area under the curve.