Table 8.

Measured and predicted performance for Round 1

	Actual net consumption	Regression Model*		E+ Model	TRNSYS Model**
		Site weather data	KGAI AMY data	KGAI AMY data	KGAI AMY data
Total Consumption (kWh)	12 927	13 216	13 317	12 383	12 246
Total Production (kWh)	13 523	13 735	13 548	13 889	13 937
Net Consumption (kWh)	−596	−565***	−353****	−1506	−1691

^*Mean of bootstrapped net consumption results

^**“Un-tuned” Model from Balke [39]

^***95 % bootstrapped confidence bound for 40 % of usable days training set – [−935 kWh, −193 kWh] (based on percentile rank).

^****95 % bootstrapped confidence bound for 40 % of usable days training set – [−734 kWh, 30 kWh] (based on percentile rank).