Table A2.
Parameter name | Value | Source |
---|---|---|
HIV progression | ||
Duration of acute phase (weeks) | 12 | [49] |
Monthly transition rate | ||
CD4>500 → CD4<500 cells/mm3 | ||
ART− | 0.011 | [50] |
ART+ | HR 1 | [51, 52] |
CD4<500 cells/mm3 → death | ||
ART− | 0.014 | [50] |
ART+ | HR 0.22 | [53, 54] |
HCV+ | HR 1.35 | [55] |
HCV progression | ||
Duration of acute phase (weeks) | 26 | [56] |
Mean time to treatment (weeks) | 520 | [57] |
Treatment response (%) | 80 | [58, 59, 60] |
Duration of treatment (weeks) | 24 | [61, 62] |
Sexual behavior | ||
Coital acts per week | 1 | [35] |
Fraction that use condom consistently (%) | ||
Regular partnership | 16 | [20, 21, 63] |
Casual partnership | 50 | [64] |
HIV transmission via sex | ||
HIV transmission rate per coital act | ||
Asymptomatic phase (CD4>500 cells/mm3) (%) | 0.06 | [65] |
Acute phase | HR 12 | [66, 67] |
Symptomatic phase (CD4<500 cells/mm3) | HR 6 | [66, 67, 68] |
Effect of treatment (ART+) on infection risk | HR 0.10 | [69, 70, 71] |
Effect of condom use on infection risk | RR 0.20 | [69, 72] |
Needle-sharing behavior | ||
Number of injections per week | 14 | [73, 74, 75] |
Fraction of injections shared with strangers (%) | 1 | Estimated* |
Distribution of long-term-sharing frequency (%) | [76] | |
0.25 times/week (monthly) | 38 | |
1 time/week (weekly) | 45 | |
7 times/week (daily) | 17 | |
HIV transmission via needle | ||
Transmission rate per injection with a contaminated syringe (%) | ||
Acute phase | 1.00 | [39] |
Asymptomatic phase (CD4>500 cells/mm3) | 0.12 | [77, 78] |
Symptomatic phase (CD4<500 cells/mm3) | 0.30 | [77, 78] |
Effect of treatment on infection risk | HR 0.50 | [68] |
HCV transmission via needle | ||
Transmission rate per injection with a contaminated syringe | ||
HIV− (%) | 0.40 | [79, 80] |
HIV+ | HR 2 | [81] |
Effect of treatment on infection risk | HR 0.50 | [82, 83] |
HR, hazard ratio; RR, relative risk.
Estimated through calibration.