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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Mar 1.
Published in final edited form as: Math Biosci. 2016 Jan 14;273:102–113. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2016.01.003

Table A2.

Input parameters of the disease model.

Parameter name Value Source
HIV progression
Duration of acute phase (weeks) 12 [49]
Monthly transition rate
 CD4>500 → CD4<500 cells/mm3
  ART− 0.011 [50]
  ART+ HR 1 [51, 52]
 CD4<500 cells/mm3 → death
  ART− 0.014 [50]
  ART+ HR 0.22 [53, 54]
  HCV+ HR 1.35 [55]
HCV progression
Duration of acute phase (weeks) 26 [56]
Mean time to treatment (weeks) 520 [57]
Treatment response (%) 80 [58, 59, 60]
Duration of treatment (weeks) 24 [61, 62]
Sexual behavior
Coital acts per week 1 [35]
Fraction that use condom consistently (%)
 Regular partnership 16 [20, 21, 63]
 Casual partnership 50 [64]
HIV transmission via sex
HIV transmission rate per coital act
 Asymptomatic phase (CD4>500 cells/mm3) (%) 0.06 [65]
 Acute phase HR 12 [66, 67]
 Symptomatic phase (CD4<500 cells/mm3) HR 6 [66, 67, 68]
Effect of treatment (ART+) on infection risk HR 0.10 [69, 70, 71]
Effect of condom use on infection risk RR 0.20 [69, 72]
Needle-sharing behavior
Number of injections per week 14 [73, 74, 75]
Fraction of injections shared with strangers (%) 1 Estimated*
Distribution of long-term-sharing frequency (%) [76]
 0.25 times/week (monthly) 38
 1 time/week (weekly) 45
 7 times/week (daily) 17
HIV transmission via needle
Transmission rate per injection with a contaminated syringe (%)
 Acute phase 1.00 [39]
 Asymptomatic phase (CD4>500 cells/mm3) 0.12 [77, 78]
 Symptomatic phase (CD4<500 cells/mm3) 0.30 [77, 78]
Effect of treatment on infection risk HR 0.50 [68]
HCV transmission via needle
Transmission rate per injection with a contaminated syringe
 HIV− (%) 0.40 [79, 80]
 HIV+ HR 2 [81]
Effect of treatment on infection risk HR 0.50 [82, 83]

HR, hazard ratio; RR, relative risk.

*

Estimated through calibration.