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. 2016 Nov 1;115(12):1471–1478. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2016.359

Table 3. Area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve for 10 years regarding overall survival and disease-free survival for Adjuvant! Online and Nottingham Prognostic Index by age group and tumour subtype.

  Overall survival
Disease-free survival
  AUC for time-point 10 years (95% CI) P-value AOL vs NPI AUC for time-point 10 years (95% CI) P-value AOL vs NPI
Young cohort
All (n=376)        
 AOL 73.1 (66.1–80.2) 0.45 66.0 (59.6–72.4) 0.51
 6-class NPI 71.9 (65.0–78.7)   64.6 (58.2–71.1)  
ER+/HER2−(n=181)        
 AOL 67.2 (56.2–78.2) 0.44 64.2 (54.9–73.5) 0.45
 6-class NPI 69.0 (58.6–79.4)   66.5 (57.5–75.5)  
ER−/HER2−(n=86)        
 AOL 76.4 (63.9–88.8) 0.91 60.9 (46.9–74.9) 0.90
 6-class NPI 76.7 (63.8–89.6)   60.4 (46.1–74.7)  
HER2+(n=74)        
 AOL 75.4 (60.7–90.1) 0.06 73.8 (60.5–87.1) 0.03
 6-class NPI 68.2 (51.1–85.2)   62.9 (48.0–77.8)  
Older cohort
All (n=907)        
 AOL 74.0 (69.0–79.1) 0.94 63.5 (58.8–68.2) 0.35
 6-class NPI 74.1 (69.1–79.1)   64.9 (60.3–69.5)  
ER+/HER2−(n=591)        
 AOL 71.9 (64.9–78.9) 0.80 63.7 (57.5–69.8) 0.59
 6-class NPI 72.2 (65.3–79.1)   64.8 (58.8–70.8)  
ER−/HER2−(n=76)        
 AOL 61.5 (45.8–77.3) 0.98 59.8 (44.1–75.5) 0.31
 6-class NPI 61.6 (45.6–77.6)   63.6 (48.2–79.0)  
HER2+(n=102)        
 AOL 76.2 (62.8–89.5) 0.24 63.0 (49.7–76.2) 0.22
 6-class NPI 80.2 (68.9–91.4)   68.4 (56.0–80.9)  

Abbreviations: AOL=Adjuvant! Online; AUC=area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve; CI=confidence interval; ER=oestrogen receptor; HER2=human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; NPI=Nottingham Prognostic Index.