Table 2.
Variable | Parameter estimate | 95% CI | P‐value | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Intercept | −34.95 | −41.95 | −27.95 | <0.0001 | |
Temporal adjustment variables | |||||
Sine | 5.26 | 4.51 | 6.01 | <0.0001 | |
Cosine | −2.04 | −2.70 | −1.38 | <0.0001 | |
Date | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.004 | <0.0001 | |
Christmas‐New Year holiday (Dec 24‐Jan 3) | 13.95 | 11.80 | 16.09 | <0.0001 | |
Sunday (ref) | 1.00 | − | − | − | |
Monday | −2.29 | −3.06 | −1.51 | <0.0001 | |
Tuesday | −4.29 | −5.10 | −3.48 | <0.0001 | |
Wednesday | −4.71 | −5.57 | −3.84 | <0.0001 | |
Thursday | −6.01 | −6.88 | −5.14 | <0.0001 | |
Friday | −5.54 | −6.36 | −4.73 | <0.0001 | |
Saturday | −3.31 | −4.08 | −2.53 | <0.0001 | |
Virus | Lag (days) | ||||
Influenza Ab | 0 | −0.02 | −0.15 | 0.12 | 0.79 |
1 | 0.35 | 0.22 | 0.49 | <0.0001 | |
2 | 0.34 | 0.21 | 0.47 | <0.0001 | |
3 | 0.33 | 0.20 | 0.46 | <0.0001 | |
4 | 0.20 | 0.069 | 0.34 | 0.0021 | |
5 | 0.03 | −0.10 | 0.17 | 0.62 | |
RSVc | 0 | 0.09 | −0.029 | 0.21 | 0.12 |
1 | 0.14 | 0.023 | 0.26 | 0.015 | |
2 | 0.19 | 0.078 | 0.31 | 0.0007 | |
3 | −0.04 | −0.16 | 0.08 | 0.49 | |
4 | −0.02 | −0.14 | 0.10 | 0.77 | |
5 | 0.02 | −0.10 | 0.14 | 0.77 |
Two autoregressive terms were added to this model.
Additive estimate = 1.24; Significant lags = day 1–4.
Additive estimate =0.39; Significant lags = day 1–2.