Figure 4. Predicted probability of occurrence of HPAI H5N1 and H5Nx clade 2.3.4.4.
Predicted probability of occurrence of HPAI H5N1 for the Set 1 (top) and of H5Nx clade 2.3.4.4 for the Set 4 (bottom) (Figure 4—source data 1 and 2 respectively). The dashed black line represents a buffer around the occurrence data for the HPAI H5N1 and H5Nx clade 2.3.4.4 predictions, corresponding to an area from which pseudo-absences were selected. The circle inset shows the prediction obtained when the effect of the variable IsChina was removed. The suitability maps HPAI H5N1 and H5Nx clade 2.3.4.4 for Set 2 and Set 3 variables are presented in Figure 4—figure supplement 1 and Figure 4—figure supplement 2 , respectively. The shapefile data used to produce these maps were all from public sources (http://www.naturalearthdata.com/). The graticule is composed of a 20-degree increments and the coordinate system is Eckert IV (EPSG: 54012). This figure was built with the R-3.2.4 software (https://cran.r-project.org/). Additionally, Figure 4—figure supplement 3 depicts the Multivariate environmental similarity surfaces (MESS) maps for HPAI H5N1 and H5Nx clade 2.3.4.4 for the four sets of predictor variables.
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.19571.009
Figure 4—figure supplement 1. Predicted probability of occurrence of HPAI H5N1 (top) and of H5Nx clade 2.3.4.4 (bottom) for the Set 2 variables.
Figure 4—figure supplement 2. Predicted probability of occurrence of HPAI H5N1 (top) and of H5Nx clade 2.3.4.4 (bottom) for the Set 3 variables.
Figure 4—figure supplement 3. Multivariate environmental similarity surfaces (MESS) maps for HPAI H5N1 and H5Nx clade 2.3.4.4.
