. 2016 Nov 29;113(50):14294–14299. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1611386113

Table S1.

Population projections for the world and for selected continents, geographical areas, and countries

Scenario	Year	SDG 2016			SSPs 2014			UNWPP 2015
		SDG1	SDG2	SDG3	SSP1	SSP2	SSP3	Lower limit (95%)	Upper limit (95%)
Fertility scenario^*		−20%	−20%	−10%	−20%		+20%
Education scenario		Secondary completion by 2030
Education scenario		Upper	Lower	Lower
World	2010	*6,871*	*6,871*	*6,871*	*6,871*	*6,871*	*6,871*
	2030	8,112	8,152	8,200	8,024	8,256	8,511	8,360	8,648
	2050	8,759	8,866	8,964	8,504	9,140	9,966	9,284	10,182
	2100	8,192	8,434	8,654	7,084	8,948	12,752	9,494	13,294
Africa	2010	*1,022*	*1,022*	*1,022*	*1,022*	*1,022*	*1,022*
	2030	1,448	1,468	1,488	1,458	1,526	1,610	1,646	1,712
	2050	1,760	1,816	1,874	1,800	2,017	2,323	2,324	2,627
	2100	1,968	2,093	2,255	1,924	2,620	3,922	3,442	5,589
Asia	2010	*4,141*	*4,141*	*4,141*	*4,141*	*4,141*	*4,141*
	2030	4,752	4,769	4,797	4,680	4,828	5,019	4,805	5,044
	2050	4,946	4,987	5,031	4,727	5,107	5,682	4,928	5,634
	2100	4,135	4,220	4,294	3,320	4,355	6,858	3,843	6,317
Latin America and the Caribbean	2010	*590*	*590*	*590*	*590*	*590*	*590*
	2030	695	698	698	678	702	738	702	739
	2050	746	756	752	696	758	865	728	838
	2100	682	709	693	520	684	1,094	558	902
Burkina Faso	2010	16	16	16	16	16	16
	2030	25	25	26	26	27	29	25	29
	2050	31	31	33	33	38	46	33	51
	2100	35	36	40	37	53	81	35	160
Cameroon	2010	20	20	20	20	20	20
	2030	26	26	27	26	27	29	31	35
	2050	30	31	32	31	33	37	40	57
	2100	31	32	34	29	36	49	44	145
Chad	2010	11	11	11	11	11	11
	2030	17	17	17	17	18	19	20	23
	2050	20	21	22	22	25	28	27	43
	2100	22	24	25	25	33	44	29	144
Egypt	2010	81	81	81	81	81	81
	2030	103	103	106	103	107	112	111	123
	2050	116	116	122	115	126	142	130	174
	2100	114	114	126	100	134	202	120	345
Ethiopia	2010	83	83	83	83	83	83
	2030	115	118	118	119	124	131	128	148
	2050	136	141	141	143	159	183	153	228
	2100	147	155	155	142	190	284	124	445
Ghana	2010	24	24	24	24	24	24
	2030	34	35	35	34	36	38	35	39
	2050	40	42	43	41	47	55	43	58
	2100	43	46	47	41	58	91	40	128
India	2010	*1,225*	*1,225*	*1,225*	*1,225*	*1,225*	*1,225*
	2030	1,461	1,468	1,489	1,457	1,521	1,608	1,448	1,605
	2050	1,586	1,596	1,633	1,543	1,715	1,982	1,472	1,978
	2100	1,378	1,390	1,460	1,131	1,569	2,687	954	2,739
Iraq	2010	32	32	32	32	32	32
	2030	47	47	48	47	50	55	51	57
	2050	58	59	62	59	68	85	71	97
	2100	66	67	74	62	89	169	88	284
Kenya	2010	41	41	41	41	41	41
	2030	59	60	61	59	61	66	62	69
	2050	72	75	78	73	80	95	81	111
	2100	80	86	93	75	98	157	87	268
Madagascar	2010	21	21	21	21	21	21
	2030	30	31	31	31	33	35	34	38
	2050	36	37	38	38	45	52	46	65
	2100	40	41	43	38	59	89	56	187
Malawi	2010	15	15	15	15	15	15
	2030	24	25	25	25	26	28	25	28
	2050	32	35	34	35	41	48	35	51
	2100	39	46	46	46	68	109	43	159
Mali	2010	15	15	15	15	15	15
	2030	24	24	25	24	26	27	25	29
	2050	29	30	32	31	36	42	34	56
	2100	34	35	38	35	48	66	38	201
Mozambique	2010	23	23	23	23	23	23
	2030	32	32	33	32	34	35	39	44
	2050	37	38	39	39	42	47	52	78
	2100	39	41	43	38	50	68	59	240
Nepal	2010	30	30	30	30	30	30
	2030	39	40	40	40	42	45	31	35
	2050	46	46	48	45	51	62	30	42
	2100	46	47	49	40	55	102	14	49
Niger	2010	16	16	16	16	16	16
	2030	26	27	27	27	30	33	33	38
	2050	35	37	38	41	51	63	54	90
	2100	43	48	52	57	98	161	78	524
Nigeria	2010	*158*	*158*	*158*	*158*	*158*	*158*
	2030	244	247	253	243	253	268	247	277
	2050	332	344	363	333	371	435	313	478
	2100	439	478	549	439	576	879	326	1,494
Pakistan	2010	*174*	*174*	*174*	*174*	*174*	*174*
	2030	224	225	229	224	237	255	232	258
	2050	248	251	261	249	286	344	265	359
	2100	235	241	260	212	314	551	209	629
Philippines	2010	93	93	93	93	93	93
	2030	117	118	120	117	122	131	117	130
	2050	129	129	136	127	141	170	127	172
	2100	123	124	137	107	147	251	95	295
Senegal	2010	12	12	12	12	12	12
	2030	18	18	18	18	19	21	22	24
	2050	20	21	21	21	25	32	31	42
	2100	21	23	23	20	33	60	41	127
Uganda	2010	33	33	33	33	33	33
	2030	55	56	56	56	60	65	57	66
	2050	73	76	79	79	93	113	79	123
	2100	90	98	108	104	154	242	89	416
United Republic of Tanzania	2010	45	45	45	45	45	45
	2030	67	68	69	69	73	78	78	87
	2050	81	84	86	88	102	120	112	162
	2100	92	96	102	98	141	212	147	546

Data are from various sources. Bold italic numbers refer to empirical starting data.

Fertility scenario: SDG1 and SDG2 are 20% lower than SSP2. SDG3 is 10% lower than SSP2. SSP3 is 20% higher than SSP2, and SSP1 is 20% lower than SSP2.