Table 4. Summary of model characteristics.
Model | Training period1 | Google Trends data2 | Keyword selection3 | Model Name4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 52 weeks | Raw data | Continuous | 52RC |
2 | 52 weeks | Wavelet transformed | Continuous | 52WC |
3 | 104 weeks | Raw data | Continuous | 104RC |
4 | 104 weeks | Wavelet transformed | Continuous | 104WC |
5 | 156 weeks | Raw data | Continuous | 156RC |
6 | 156 weeks | Wavelet transformed | Continuous | 156WC |
7 | 52 weeks | Raw data | Set | 52RS |
8 | 52 weeks | Wavelet transformed | Set | 52WS |
9 | 104 weeks | Raw data | Set | 104RS |
10 | 104 weeks | Wavelet transformed | Set | 104WS |
11 | 156 weeks | Raw data | Set | 156RS |
12 | 156 weeks | Wavelet transformed | Set | 156WS |
1The training period denotes how many weeks data are available to the model for fitting, keyword selection and wavelet construction. This period was also used to determine the best lag for keywords used in these models (but was restricted to the 2009–2011 data).
2Indicates the search metrics data available for the model.
3In producing forecasts for holdout data (2012–2013), continuous models are able to reselect keywords at each time point using the previous 52, 104 or 156 weeks data; set models use a selection of keywords determined using only the 2009–2011 data.
4Models are named using a combination of the number of weeks data visible to them (52/104/156), format of search metric data (raw/wavelet transformed; R/W) and the method of keyword selection (continuous/set; C/S).