Table. Estimates of weekly Guillain-Barré syndrome cases and healthcare resource needs, Puerto Rico, 2016.
| Variable | Scenario* | Estimate |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | Interquartile range | 95% Uncertainty interval | ||
| New cases and long-term care patients | ||||
| Case-patients | No Zika virus | 1 | 0–2 | 0–4 |
| Average week during Zika virus | 5 | 3–6 | 1–11 | |
| Peak week during Zika virus | 11 | 6–17 | 1–34 | |
| Long-term care patients |
No Zika virus | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Average week during Zika virus | 2 | 1–3 | 0–6 | |
| Peak week during Zika virus |
5 |
2–8 |
0–16 |
|
| New patient healthcare resource needs | ||||
| Intravenous immunoglobulin | No Zika virus | 1 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| Average week during Zika virus | 4 | 3–6 | 0–10 | |
| Peak week during Zika virus | 10 | 5–15 | 0–30 | |
| Mechanical ventilation | No Zika virus | 0 | 0–0 | 0–1 |
| Average week during Zika virus | 1 | 0–2 | 0–3 | |
| Peak week during Zika virus | 2 | 1–4 | 0–8 | |
| Regular ward beds | No Zika virus | 0 | 0–1 | 0–3 |
| Average week during Zika virus | 3 | 1–4 | 0–7 | |
| Peak week during Zika virus | 6 | 3–10 | 0–21 | |
| Intensive care unit beds | No Zika virus | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Average week during Zika virus | 2 | 1–3 | 0–6 | |
| Peak week during Zika virus | 4 | 2–7 | 0–15 | |
*The weekly number of Guillain-Barré syndrome cases and associated healthcare needs were estimated for 3 scenarios: 1) in the absence of Zika virus transmission; 2) in an average week during Zika virus transmission; and 3) during the peak week of Zika virus transmission.