Table 2. Model performance for influenza A, influenza B and RSV to fit with climate variables in Eastern Visayas, Baguio, and Okinawa.
| Model | Eastern Visayas | Baguio | Okinawa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIC | Improved model fit (%) | AIC | Improved model fit (%) | AIC | Improved model fit (%) | ||
| Flu A | Local trend | −819.2 | −690.2 | −678.3 | |||
| Mean temperature | −811.6 | 0.9 | −686.8 | 0.5 | −645.0 | 4.9 | |
| RH | −812.5 | 0.8 | −684.2 | 0.9 | −648.6 | 4.4 | |
| SH | −811.1 | 1.0 | −687.8 | 0.3 | −646.1 | 4.8 | |
| Rainfall | −814.2 | 0.6 | −678.3 | 1.7 | −650.1 | 4.2 | |
| Rainy days a | −863.3 | -5.4 | −658.8 | 4.5 | −712.2 | -5.0 | |
| Flu B | Trend | −970.3 | −725.4 | −839.1 | |||
| Mean temperature | −962.2 | 0.8 | −717.3 | 1.1 | −809.7 | 3.5 | |
| RH | −965.8 | 0.5 | −722.1 | 0.5 | −818.0 | 2.5 | |
| SH | −965.5 | 0.5 | −717.1 | 1.1 | −797.2 | 5.0 | |
| Rainfall | −916.0 | 5.6 | −717.8 | 1.1 | −827.3 | 1.4 | |
| Rainy days a | −916.0 | 5.6 | −784.7 | -8.1 | −866.8 | -3.3 | |
| RSV | Trend | −726.1 | −715.9 | ||||
| Mean temperature | −722.5 | 0.5 | −712.2 | 0.5 | |||
| RH | −722.9 | 0.4 | −714.3 | 0.2 | |||
| SH | −721.3 | 0.7 | −712.2 | 0.5 | |||
| Rainfall | −720.8 | 0.7 | −708.5 | 1.0 | |||
| Rainy days a | −771.5 | -6.2 | −745.3 | -4.1 | |||
Abbreviations: AIC: Akaike Information Criterion, RH: relative humidity, SH: specific humidity.
a Rainy day is defined as the number of rainy days in one week with > 10 mm precipitation.