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. 2016 Dec 22;5:107. doi: 10.1186/s40249-016-0199-5

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© The Author(s) 2016

Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver(http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

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Fig. 1 — The performance of parameter estimation. The mean absolute percentage errors for α, δ, and σ are 10.0, 6.0, and 10.0 %, respectively. α measures the auto-recovery rate of one particular infectious disease. δ measures the disease transmissibility within the population. σ measures the disease transmissibility between populations